Showing posts with label third wave. Show all posts
Showing posts with label third wave. Show all posts

Sunday, July 18, 2021

Lambda

Will we, the people, travel through the Greek alphabet to name emerging coronavirus variants before we knuckle down and accept the vaccine already?
We’ve gone through alpha, beta, gamma, and we’re facing lambda – the 11th letter of the alphabet.
It’s unbelievable to learn of vaccine “refuseniks” who have family and friends dead of Covid and still doubting vax efficacy. Moreover, the concept of ‘doing it for your community’ is entirely absent. Go figure….

News blues

A coronavirus variant known as Lambda, which has largely slid under the radar for the past nine months, is now causing almost all new infections in Peru.
Lambda (also known as C.37) was first detected in Peru in August 2020 and has spread to 29 countries, many in Latin America. And, since January 20, 2021, 668 Lambda infections have been reported in the United States. In Peru, Lambda is now responsible for more than 90 percent of new COVID-19 cases, a steep rise from less than 0.5 percent in December. The country has already suffered the world’s worst mortality due to COVID-19; the disease has killed about 0.54 percent of the population.
Read more >> 
***
In South Africa, Prof Salim Abdool Karim, former chair of the ministerial advisory committee on Covid-19, stated that the country’s third wave was more than twice the peak of the first and second waves in the country. …
A further 413 Covid-19 related deaths were reported over the past 24-hour cycle, bringing the total fatalities to 66,385 to date.
“The majority of new cases today are from Gauteng (38%), followed by Western Cape (19%). Limpopo accounted for 12%; Mpumalanga accounted for 9%; North West accounted for 8%; Eastern Cape accounted for 5%; KwaZulu-Natal accounted for 4%; Free State accounted for 3%; and the Northern Cape accounted for 2% of today’s new cases,” the NICD said in a statement.
Gauteng has shown a decline in Covid-19 cases and might be slowly getting over the peak of the third wave…
Read more >> 

Healthy planet, anyone?

Back at the beginning of the pandemic, I fell for the story of dolphins reappearing in Venice’s canals. That was “fake news” and wishful thinking. 
This time around, I’ll keep an eye on the latest news about large cruise ships currently being banned from sailing into the centre of Venice from August 1 amid fears they are causing irreparable damage to the lagoon city. 
Italy's government has (for now?) adopted the decree, saying it …
"… represents an important step for the protection of the Venetian lagoon system…"
Instead, they [cruise ships] will be diverted to the city's industrial port of Marghera, although this is viewed as only a temporary solution, with ministers calling for ideas on a new permanent terminal.
Campaigners have for years been calling for cruise ships to be banned from sailing past the iconic St Mark's Square, saying they cause large waves that undermine the city's foundations and harm the fragile ecosystem of its lagoon.
As my late mother liked to say, “We’ll see….”
Money talks. Getting cruise ships “temporarily” to protect the Venetian lagoon system will be like getting US Senator Joe Manchin to give up donations from fossil fuel companies  and get on board with the desperately need infrastructure plan.

Meanwhile, back at the ranch…

I’ll head back up to the river today – where temps will be in upper 90s and into the low 100s. This is a far cry from temps in the inner bay where I visited over the weekend and where I almost needed a jacket.
Truth be told, I’m not so much looking forward to returning to the river – and the stifling heat. Then again, I can swim….


Saturday, June 26, 2021

Going bats

News blues

Scientists fear land-use changes as human settlements creep ever closer to wildlife habitat – particularly replacing swaths of forests with development and farmland - could spur the evolution of zoonotic diseases such as COVID-19.
Areas that have seen dramatic transformations and are home to large bat populations, some scientists believe, could prove to be the starting point of the next coronavirus pandemic. A group of researchers recently set out to identify where future outbreaks might occur, creating a map of potential hot spots—areas with ingredients potentially favorable to SARS-related coronavirus spillovers. They searched for locations that have a high concentration of Asian horseshoe bats, which host the greatest diversity of coronaviruses, and high levels of both human and livestock settlement and forest fragmentation.
Changes in land use and livestock increase risk of coronavirus transmission from rhinolophid bats.
Human and agricultural expansion are steadily increasing the risk of animal-transmitted viruses, and some areas of the the world are more impacted than others. Scientists analyzed the range of rhinolophid bats that host SARS-related coronaviruses in Asia to determine which areas had the highest risk of transmission. With China's agricultural expansion, forests are being clear-cut for cropland, bringing humans and animals closer.
Soren Walljasper, NG Staff
Sources: Maria Cristina Rulli and David Hayman, Springer-Nature; IUCN
Read “Humans are creating hot spots where bats could transmit zoonotic diseases” >>
***
South Africa, particularly Gauteng province with increasing rates of Covid infection, is sagging under the weight of the third wave and the Delta variant.
President Cyril Ramaphosa will address the nation on Sunday.
Predictions about his proposed response include a ban on all gatherings, a request that everyone work from home if possible, and a two-week ban on alcohol sales.
See the latest figures >> 
***

Healthy planet, anyone?

Last week, Californians sweated under the “heat dome”. This week, residents of the Pacific Northwest will sweat:
This Sunday could be the hottest day on record in Portland, Oregon, as 13 million people across the Pacific Northwest brace for record heat.
“We’re taking this very seriously as a public health emergency because of the prolonged nature of it,” says Dan Douthit, the public information officer for the Portland Bureau of Emergency Management.
… Oregon’s largest city, along with Seattle (175 miles north) and Spokane (near the Washington-Idaho border) are all expected to feel historic heat in the coming days as a “heat dome” smothers the region. https://www.nationalgeographic.com/environment/article/heat-dome-deadly-hot-weather-descends-on-pacific-northwest The heatwave gripping the US west is simultaneously breaking hundreds of temperature records, exacerbating a historic drought and priming the landscape for a summer and fall of extreme wildfire.
Among the 40 million Americans enduring the triple-digit temperatures are scientists who study droughts and the climate. They’d long forewarned of this crisis, and now they – an We the People - are living through it. 
***
In the Florida Keys city of Marathon, officials agreed to push ahead with a plan to elevate streets throughout the Keys to keep them from perpetual flooding, while admitting they do not have the money to do so.
The string of coral cay islands that unspool from the southern tip of Florida finds itself on the frontline of the climate crisis, forcing unenviable choices upon a place that styles itself as sunshine-drenched idyll. The lives of Keys residents – a mixture of wealthy, older white people, the one in four who are Hispanic or Latino, and those struggling in poverty – face being upended.
If the funding isn’t found, the Keys will become one of the first places in the US – and certainly not the last – to inform residents that certain areas will have to be surrendered to the oncoming tides.
“The water is coming and we can’t stop it,” said Michelle Coldiron, mayor of Monroe county, which encompasses the Keys. “Some homes will have to be elevated, some will have to be bought out. It’s very difficult to have these conversations with homeowners, because this is where they live. It can get very emotional.” 
Never fear, though. The humans have it under control. A bit out there, but hey, “we’re only human….”
Tom Green has a plan to tackle climate change. The British biologist and director of the charity Project Vesta wants to turn a trillion tonnes of CO2 into rock, and sink it to the bottom of the sea.
Green admits the idea is “audacious”. It would involve locking away atmospheric carbon by dropping pea-coloured sand into the ocean. The sand is made of ground olivine – an abundant volcanic rock, known to jewellers as peridot – and, if Green’s calculations are correct, depositing it offshore on 2% of the world’s coastlines would capture 100% of total global annual carbon emissions.
Read “Cloud spraying and hurricane slaying: how ocean geoengineering became the frontier of the climate crisis” 
Not to disparage potentially functional ideas to mitigate climate change – since we humans appear unwilling to make actual, real changes, say like agreeing to cut back on fossil fuels and intensifying efforts to use alternative energies, or BAN the use of plastics as of NOW, or address population explosion and planet Earth’s carrying capacity, or STOP forest massacres, etc., etc.
Instead, we have people in prominent positions suggesting outlandish ideas. Whackadoodle Texas Republican congressman Louie Gohmert, for example,
has asked a senior US government official if changing the moon’s orbit around the Earth, or the Earth’s orbit around the sun, might be a solution for climate change.
Looking on the bright side: one should be grateful that Gohmert, an archconservative, concedes that planet Earth’s climate is changing… Fresh thinking from a Texas Republican….
Read the article >>

Meanwhile, back at the ranch…

One week after my second jab - officially not yet “immune” to Covid – I continue feeling no ill effects. I continue to wear my mask when away from the marina (no one in the marina wears a mask). Truth be told, I usually forget my mask in my vehicle must return for it before entering stores. And, life goes on.
Cooler temperatures – upper 80s and low 90s – allow me to inspect and work on my elderly houseboat. The good news: I found a still-usable can of blue paint – alas, oil based with cleanup messy on a boat – and repainted all the blue fencing around the boat. This was straight-forward on the sides but complex on the bow. A floating pontoon moves. So does an inflatable, particularly the inflatable I sat in to conduct the painting… I did it, though, so that’s done for three next couple of years. I also lifted nd repaired plywood decking (3/4 inch plywood is standard material for pontoon boat decking). I continue with this ongoing project, each day collecting greater awareness of decades’ wear and tear on my home.
The bad news? The main steel girder that frames the boat’s beam, particularly the spot where the plywood decking joins the cabin, is highly – dangerously? – rusted. Swimming around under the boat, I can, literally, knock on the girder and chunks of rust, from large to small pieces and much rust dust, falls. I need advice from an expert about how to address this in the short term. I thought I’d found an expert, but he’s not responding with alacrity. Alas. Perhaps his expertise is beyond the level of my need and he’s focusing his attentions with customers with deeper pockets?
I have best intentions and, far as possible, do as much work of the work as I’m able, but I’m far from skilled. Moreover, as a left/right dyslexic, it takes me ages to figure out how to align simple things. An example? Cutting a simple plywood shelf and inserting it under the kitchen cabinet as an extension to the countertop. I measured and remeasured, multiple times, then cut the wood using my newly purchased hand-held Dremel circular saw. Hmmm. Didn’t have plywood around to practice on prior to cutting….
Cuts were slightly off. Slightly, but enough to add hours onto what should have been a simple job. Thank the gods for shims.
The pull-out countertop extension works “well-enough.”
I’ve discovered areas of rotting plywood on the boat roof, too. I exposed one section of rotted roof, roughly gauged what will be required, and am pondering different scenarios on how to address it.
So far, all I’ve come up with? A tarp large enough to cover the entire roof, 36 X 13 feet, so an area close to 500 sq feet. Sure, it would be temporary (wouldn’t it?)
The “red-neck” solution.




Sunday, February 21, 2021

Welcome, day of rest

© Matt Davies-Newsday and Andrews McMeel 

News blues…

Just a matter of time before third wave hits SA – so predicts Prof Salim Abdool Karim: “Based on what we have seen so far with the second wave in SA and third wave in about a dozen countries so far, it is very likely we’ll have a third wave here.
He suggests there’s more than a 50% chance of a new variant, in which case a third wave would be “substantial. … If we only see minor mutations without significant immune escape, then the third wave may not be as severe. Our levels of naturally induced immunity from the first and second waves will play a part in this.” 

Healthy planet, anyone?

UK-centric and wonderful … see and listen to birds and bird sounds 
South African birds and their songs – challenge yourself….

Meanwhile, back at the ranch…

I began what feels like a daunting task: contacting the travel agency with whom I traveled here. Their over-riding response to my email queries about applying my unused funds to my return trip?
Thank you for contacting [us].Your business and feedback are very important to us. … expect a response regarding this matter within 48 hours. ! Due to the outbreak COVID-19 we are experiencing an unprecedented volume of calls and requests. This has significantly delayed our response time. Please bear with us as we work to help all of our customers during this global crisis. We thank you for your patience.
My patience is thin. This is the same response I received when I contacted them in May, 2020 due to my Covid-19-cancelled flights … and in June… and in July … and in August…. It’s the exact same message I receive now, 10 months later.
Just the idea of pursuing this agency for information and to put my refund towards my next flight is exhausting. Nevertheless, after more than a year pursuing various KZN bureaucracies, I've developed tenacity....


Wednesday, October 21, 2020

“Not much”

The President of the United States, faced with a still-raging virus that has sickened 8.2 million Americans and killed 221,000, says that there is "not much" that he would have done differently if he could do things all over
In the real world, where people scramble every day to assist others and stay safe themselves during a global scourge, the numbers of infected and dead around the world continue to rise.
Worldwide (Map
October 22 – 41,150,000 confirmed infections; 1,130.410 deaths
September 24 – 31,780,000 confirmed infections; 975,100 deaths

US (Map)  
October 22 – 8,333,595 confirmed infections; 222,100 deaths
September 24 – 6,935,000 confirmed infections; 201,880 deaths
Covid-19 is surging in small-town America.

SA (Coronavirus portal)  
October 22 – 708,360 confirmed infections; 18,750 deaths
September 24 – 665,190 confirmed infections; 16,206 deaths

Argentina, emerging as a recent hotspot of concern, surpassed 1 million coronavirus cases last Monday, with smaller cities seeing some of the most notable upticks.
Doctors have had to quadruple the number of beds for COVID-19 patients over the last month. At least 60% of those tested recently are coming back positive for the virus.
Across Latin America, three other nations are expected to reach the 1 million case milestone in the coming weeks — Colombia, Mexico and Peru. The grim mark comes as Latin America continues to register some of the world’s highest daily case counts. And though some nations have seen important declines, overall there has been little relief, with cases dropping in one municipality only to escalate in another.
The trajectory is showing that the pandemic is likely to leave no corner of Latin America unscathed.
“The second wave is arriving without ever having finished the first,” said Dr. Luis Jorge Hernández, a public health professor at the University of the Andes in Colombia. 

News blues…

CDC’s Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report finds:
…an estimated 299,028 excess deaths occurred from late January through October 3, 2020, with 198,081 (66%) excess deaths attributed to COVID-19. The largest percentage increases were seen among adults aged 25–44 years and among Hispanic or Latino persons. 
***
Johns Hopkins Health Policy Forum’s Fireside chat with Dr Fauci.  (41:00 mins)
***
The Lincoln Project:
Imagine  (0:58 mins)
Mourning in Iowa  (0:55 mins)
Deadbeat  (0:55 mins)

My most recent (fundraising) email from The Lincoln Project states:
We are poised to go down in history as the tipping point in this election…
But we can’t be complacent; we must finish the fight.
Right now is the most intense, and most expensive, part of the entire election. We are laser-focused on expanding our coalition and driving turnout of potential Lincoln Voters in the final 13 days before Election Day…

Trump will not relent in his efforts to steal this election — we must ensure a resounding repudiation that truly humiliates him, so he has no choice but to concede.
… Our nation's choice is America, or Trump.

All the way back in January, Steve Bannon told the Associated Press that if The Lincoln Project could move 3-4% of Republican voters away from Donald Trump—the "Bannon Line," as we call it — we would be a threat.
Well guess what? That was what we set out to do, and that's exactly what we've done.
And now, our historic movement is being recognized as the deciding factor in this election.
The first step in eradicating Trumpism is repudiating Donald Trump and evicting him from the White House.
That first step is within reach, but it's wholly dependent on the actions we take right now.
For over three years, Trump has eroded our democratic norms, crushed our institutions, and has now literally left us all for dead.
While his enablers in the Senate have stood idly by, patriots like you are taking a stand against the most un-American president in history.
The “Bannon Line” has been hit, breached, and stormed past.
We are winning.
Trump is losing.

But we have to finish the fight.
The email continues with its request for funds to continue the work. (Go to The Lincoln Project if you’d like to contribute. .)

Healthy futures, anyone?

A reminder about amazing and lovely creatures that (currently) exist on our planet – and why We the People must struggle to return our shared planet to health.  

Meanwhile, back at the ranch…

Not a single nibble on the house sale.
Worrisome.
My solution? Blending compost in an elderly concrete mixer. Five bags full and counting. And imagining the well-nourished plants in my future. 
***
Lockdown is getting really old…. 
As we say in South Africa, "vasbyt"