Thursday, December 29, 2022

oh oh!

Worldwide (Map
December 29, 2022 - 659,290,487 confirmed infections; 6,685,590 deaths
December 30, 2021 – 284,807,650 confirmed infections; 5,425,550 deaths
December 31, 2020 – 82,656000 confirmed infections; 1,8040100 deaths

US (Map
December 29, 2022 - 100,588,312 confirmed infections; 1,091,522 deaths
December 30, 2021 – 53,659,715 confirmed infections; 823,120 deaths
December 31, 2020 – 19,737,200 confirmed infections; 342,260 deaths

SA (Coronavirus portal
December 29, 2022 - 4,048,580 confirmed infections; 102,568 deaths
December 30, 2021 – 3,433,555 confirmed infections; 90,935 deaths
December 31, 2020 – 1,039,165 confirmed infections; 28,035 deaths

Post from:
December 30, 2021 – “Auld lang syne” 
December 30, 2020 - “TGIO” 

News blues…

Current US joke:
Why is Covid better than Southwest airlines? 
Because it’s airborne!
(This, in response to Southwest airlines cancelling thousands of flights across the US.)
 
***
Not a joke:
“As Covid-19 Continues to Spread, So Does Misinformation About It. Doctors are exasperated by the persistence of false and misleading claims about the virus :
As Covid cases, hospitalizations and deaths rise in parts of the country, myths and misleading narratives continue to evolve and spread, exasperating overburdened doctors and evading content moderators.
What began in 2020 as rumors that cast doubt on the existence or seriousness of Covid quickly evolved into often outlandish claims about dangerous technology lurking in masks and the supposed miracle cures from unproven drugs, like ivermectin. Last year’s vaccine rollout fueled another wave of unfounded alarm. Now, in addition to all the claims still being bandied about, there are consiracy theories about the long-term effects of the treatments, researchers say.
Read more >> 
***
Depressing Covid news:
China
China’s hospitals were already overcrowded, underfunded and inadequately staffed in the best of times. But now with Covid spreading freely for the first time in China, the medical system is being pushed to its limits. 
Read more >> 
Could the COVID-19 surge in China unleash a new coronavirus mutant on the world?
Scientists don’t know but worry that might happen. It could be similar to omicron variants circulating there now. It could be a combination of strains. Or something entirely different, they say.
“China has a population that is very large and there’s limited immunity. And that seems to be the setting in which we may see an explosion of a new variant,” said Dr. Stuart Campbell Ray, an infectious disease expert at Johns Hopkins University. 
And…
The Biden administration is weighing new precautionary measures for travelers entering the U.S. from China, according to American officials, as sales of air tickets out of China soared following Beijing’s decision to reopen its borders to international travel for the first time in almost three years.
Read more >> 

UK
UK hit by fifth Covid wave this year as cases shoot up by 20 per cent in a week. While Covid levels will be higher than for most of the pandemic in the next few weeks they will still be some way short of the previous record, set in July, experts predict.
Read more >> 

India
India has mandated a COVID-19 negative test report for travelers arriving from China, Japan, South Korea, Hong Kong and Thailand, the federal health minister said.
Passengers from those countries would be put under quarantine if they showed symptoms of COVID-19 or tested positive, Health Minister Mansukh Mandaviya tweeted on Saturday, as he posted photographs of tests being conducted at the international airport in the capital, New Delhi.
Read more >> 
***
On war… and culture war
Ukraine war photo essay >> 

Healthy planet, anyone?

Photo essay to remind us what we might lose unless we get out conservation act together. (And “we” here means ALL of us, not just a few; ALL OF US.)  
Read more >> 

Meanwhile, back at the ranch…

I remain in California rather than having returned to South Africa, as planned. Here, we’ve had lots of rain, aka an “atmospheric river”  and the “pineapple express”. I’m not complaining about rain. We need it here and winter is the time for rainfall in California. (Luckily, I reside near the beach on San Francisco Bay and I’ve had no trouble with flooding as have some regions of coastal California.)
Southern hemisphere South Africa gets it monsoonal rainfall in summer (that is, now) beginning around October. This year, Kwa Zulu Natal is experiencing excessive thunderstorms, hailstorms, and rainfall. (As it did last year, alas!)
SA is 10 hours ahead of CA. Today, I awoke to a pinging cell phone. Two video clips had been sent from my late mother’s domestic worker about the SA house. The videos chilled my blood: the garden and the house’s lower flat have been completely flooded. The garden at the bottom of the property built on a slope culminates in a shallow valley with a lovely stream. This is not the first time the area has flooded but it is the first time I’ve seen it so completely flooded. Eyeballing it from rainy California I’d judge the water at least six to seven foot deep...and at least one foot deep in lower apartment.
Take a look:



Panic stations!
I immediately called KZN's local head of road works department who told me “It is end of the work day here and we cannot do anything until tomorrow.”
Alas, it’s not the first time I’ve worked with KZN's roads department folks. Unfortunately, they arrive with heavy equipment totally unsuited to the needs of the job. Both culverts must be cleared out, and regularly maintained so that water can can drain under the road and into a marsh area on the other side.  Moreover, silt and debris must be regularly cleared from the dirt road "gutters" so that this material does not drop into the house side of the stream. It's as clear as day that this is a good solution. It is a solution that the roads work team refuses to implement in any consistent fashion. 
I aslo notified the local Democratic Alliance councilor who has been terrifically helpful in the past. (The corrupt ANC has been outvoted in our district – largely due to ANC councilors’ complete lack of responsiveness.) 
My past dealings with roads works department and description of ongoing drainage problems with mindblowing photos:
From 2022, “More of the same”  and “Mortality rate backlog” 
From 2021, “Fishy” 
From 2019, “Fact or fake” 
It is NOT as if this problem has not been tackled in the past. It IS as if this problem has been tackled ineptly and incompetently in the past.
Now, from 14,000 miles away, I must figure out how to get competent assistance fast and get an insurance adjuster in to evaluate the downstairs damage and to pay out so I can get the damage fixed AND get the @#$#$#$# roads department people to DO THEIR JOBS FOR WHICH I PAY EXHORBITANT PROPERTY TAX.
‘nuf said!

… rain expected to continue through this AND next week in KZN and in California.
Groan!
***
SF Bay Area:
Sunrise: 7:24am
Sunset: 4:58pm
     Rain, rain, rain….

KZN, South Africa:
Sunrise: 5:01am
Sunset: 7:02pm
    Rain, rain, rain….

Friday, December 23, 2022

Chillax!

The Lincoln Project:
Biden Christmas address (2:20 mins)

Thursday, December 22, 2022

United!

Worldwide (Map
December 22, 2022 – 655,145,823 confirmed infections; 6,671,946 deaths
December 22, 2021 – 277,088,800 confirmed infections; 5,376,100 deaths
December 24, 2020 – 78,674,530 confirmed infections; 1,730,000 deaths

US (Map
December 22, 2022 – 100,183,071 confirmed infections; 1,089,327deaths
December 22, 2021 – 51,537,000 confirmed infections; 812,100 deaths
December 24, 2020 – 18,455,660 confirmed infections; 326,100 deaths

SA (Coronavirus portal
December 22, 2022 – 4,046,986 confirmed infections; 102,568 deaths
December 22, 2021 – 3,353,110 confirmed infections; 90,587 deaths
December 24, 2020 – 974,260 confirmed infections; 25,660 deaths

Post from:
December 24, 2021 – “Pesky numbers"
December 24, 2020 – “Holiday madness" 

News blues…

Covid levels surge in San Francisco Bay Area wastewater. Is the next surge here?

What are the symptoms of an infection with BQ.1 and BQ.1.1? 
***
Cities across China scrambled to install hospital beds and build fever screening clinics on Tuesday as authorities reported five more deaths and international concern grew about Beijing's surprise decision to let the virus run free.
Read “China races to bolster health system as COVID surge sparks global concern” >>
***
A raging epidemic in China could be bad news for controlling the virus in the U.S., he and other experts said, because travelers will arrive sick and the chances of mutation increase anytime a virus infects a lot of people.
Read “COVID-19 is about to explode in China. What that could mean for the United States?” 
***
On war… and culture war
Ukraine President Zelensky arrives at the White House where he participates in a press conference with President Biden then addresses US Congress
***
The Lincoln Project:
We are united (Zelensky in US Congress) (2:00 mins)
Two meetings, a world of difference for democracy (0:45 mins) 
Uh oh, Donald  (0:44 mins)
Last week in the Republican Party - December 20, 2022 (2:15 mins)
Last week in the Republican Party - December 18, 2022  (2:57 mins)

Healthy planet, anyone?

Way back in 1976, I visited the Dead Sea and floated in the ultra salty water. There was not much there then, few tourist amenities and fewer tourists. Today, the Dead Sea is dying. Beautiful, ominous photos show the impact as its water level drops and big sinkholes swallow whole tracts of land around it. 
Learn why this disaster is unfolding at the Middle East's iconic salt lake >> 

Meanwhile, back at the ranch…

As mentioned in the previous post, Mary and I had read the results of her recent scan but could not accurately decipher results. That is, the results we deciphered described several “areas of concern” – potentially active nodules. How could that be?
A discussion with the oncologist confirmed our fears: either the chemo had failed to flush what nodules remained after surgery or scar tissue in the lung affected/hid what was apparent. Of particular concern was a vascular bundle associated with lymph nodes behind the sternum. The oncologist had already contacted the surgeon and discussed the possibility of further surgical intervention in that area. His response? Too sensitive an area with too many blood vessels – also the reason he’d not addressed the area during initial surgery. And I suspect, the reason why he’d re-staged Mary’s diagnosis from Stage 2 to Stage 3 A.
What to do?
Inconclusive.
Next step?
Learn more with another PET scan.
That’s scheduled for Jan 4, 2023.
How to medically address the situation if, indeed, the chemo was insufficient to dissuade further growth?
Immunotherapy is an option.
Groan.
***
Given Meso Mary’s toxic contamination and my concern, these days I am hyperalert to all things asbestos and mesothelioma related. Here’s a view of the future, for India and Indians.
India banned asbestos mining in 1993, when the government stopped reissuing licenses, but it imports more of the toxic mineral than any other country. In 2021, India accounted for 44% of global imports, a 29% increase over 2020. Russia and Brazil are its key sources.
In India, “there’s almost no home or car that isn’t being built with asbestos as an ingredient…”
“The government is basically saying that Indian asbestos is poisonous, but Brazilian or Russian asbestos is not,” says Gopal Krishna, an occupational health researcher and founder of the Ban Asbestos Network of India. “It makes no sense.” India’s unmatched scale of exposure to asbestos means that in the coming decades more than 6 million people could have an asbestos-related disease, including more than 600,000 cancer cases, according to research published by Mumbai’s Tata Institute of Social Sciences (TISS). “It’s a ticking timebomb,” says Abhijeet Vasant Jadhav, lead author of the research. Asbestos is used in everything from cement to brake parts, says Krishna. “There’s almost no home or car in India that isn’t being built with asbestos as an ingredient. We are all exposed to it.”
Read “'We are all exposed to it’: the human face of India’s asbestos timebomb. Experts say country’s vulnerability to asbestos-related diseases is putting the health of millions of people at risk” >> 
***
Winter solstice and the US is cold!. The Bay Area is not as cold as many, most, areas across the US but it is still cold.
The good news? While it will be cold, even colder next month, we’re on the upswing. Spring is in the cards!
***
SF Bay Area:
Sunrise: 7:21am
Sunset: 4:54pm

KZN, South Africa:
Sunrise: 4:56am
Sunset: 6:59pm


Thursday, December 15, 2022

Scanned

Worldwide (Map
December 15, 2022 – 650,987,530 confirmed infections; 6,658,200 deaths
December 16, 2021 – 272,521,350 confirmed infections; 5,333,815 deaths
December 17, 2020 - 73,557,500 confirmed infections; 1,637,100 deaths

US (Map
December 15, 2022 - 99,629,185 confirmed infections; 1,085,900 deaths
December 16, 2021 – 50,408,000 confirmed infections; 802,770 deaths
December 17, 2020 – 16,724,775 confirmed infections; 303,900 deaths

SA (Coronavirus portal
December 15, 2022 - 4,045,475 confirmed infections; 102,550 deaths
December 16, 2021 – 3,231,100 confirmed infections; 90,226 deaths
December 17, 2020 – 873,680 confirmed infections; 23,665 deaths
Posts from:
December 16, 2021 – “Reconciliation” 
December 17, 2020 – “What can go wrong…” 

News blues…

Telltale signs of a ‘tripledemic’: “with flu, RSV and Covid-19 all swirling, hospitals and health care systems are approaching capacity as millions still refuse to get vaccinated >> 
***
State health officials are warning people that time is running out to get vaccinated before gathering with family over the holidays as Covid-19 cases surge nationwide alongside unseasonably severe waves of flu and respiratory syncytial virus.
The guidance comes after two excruciating holiday seasons that sent Covid-19 cases and deaths skyrocketing. And it underscores the ongoing struggle of public health officials at the state and federal level to get Americans vaccinated against the flu and Covid.
Read “‘The situation in the hospitals is grim’: States face brutal virus fallout” >> 
***
The spread of Covid-19 in China is now “impossible” to track, the country’s health authorities have said, announcing they have stopped recording asymptomatic cases in their daily tallies.
The admission comes amid soaring presentations to hospitals and clinics as Covid-19 spreads rapidly through the population in the wake of the sudden removal of strict pandemic measures. Authorities have urged people not to seek emergency healthcare unless necessary, and announced the rollout of second boosters to elderly and vulnerable people.
China’s government abruptly ended the long-running and strict zero-Covid policy last week, rolling back measures including travel restrictions and lockdowns. Health authorities also ended the mass testing drives and compulsory regular testing which were pillars of the policy. As a result, official daily reports have become an increasingly inaccurate measure of the outbreak.
Read “China says spread of Covid ‘impossible’ to track as infections soar in Beijing” >> 
***
A study released Tuesday by the Commonwealth Fund shows that in [the past] two years, the Covid vaccines have averted over 3 million deaths in the U.S.
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention estimates that more than 1 million Americans have died from Covid-19 since the onset of the pandemic. But the study results show the toll would have been even worse had the U.S. had relied upon so-called natural immunity acquired through infection as the only immunological defense against the virus. Without vaccines, the country would have experienced four times as many deaths, 1.5 times more infections, and 3.8 times more hospitalizations in the time since December of 2020. The vaccines also saved the U.S. $1 trillion in additional medical costs.
The study’s key message is that vaccines are “worth our money as taxpayers,” said Isaac Chun-Hai Fung, an associate professor of epidemiology at Georgia Southern University, who was not involved in the study. “We pay for the vaccination campaign and it works. It saves us money and it saves lives.”
Read “Covid vaccines averted 3 million deaths in U.S., according to new study” >> 

Healthy planet, anyone?

Jane Goodall tells it like it is!
Environmental activist and primatologist Jane Goodall still believes Donald Trump essentially acts like a male chimpanzee.
Goodall first made the observation in 2016, during Trump's first presidential campaign, and told MSNBC's Ari Melber … that the former president still displayed the aggressive tendencies of the primate species….
Read more >> 

Meanwhile, back at the ranch…

Base CT scan completed. Mary and I bussed to the scan department, half an hour before appointment time, as requested, filled in the inevitable forms and Mary drank the 2 cups of water required to filter scan “ink” medium from her system. Then, the scan. Then out of door…before her actual 10 o’clock appointment… indeed, back in the bus by 10. That’s service we appreciate!
Additionally, we received the scan results two hours later. Since neither of us can read/understand the results presented, we wait until Friday to review with the oncologist.
Waiting. We hate waiting under these conditions. Particularly as nothing on the scan results appear clearly to states that Mary is free of malignancy; the opposite, in fact.
Groan.
Mary has, however, expressed a “total lack of interest in yet another dose of chemo this year.”
***
The weather is cold here along the SF Bay. (It’s colder even 25 minutes away from the bay.) The waterfowl, however, are plentiful, beautiful, and a pleasure to watch.
TGFWF. (thank gods for waterfowl.)
***
SF Bay Area:
Sunrise: 7:17am
Sunset: 4:51pm

KZN, South Africa:
Sunrise: 4:53am
Sunset: 6:55pm


Thursday, December 8, 2022

It's baaack!

Worldwide (Map
December 8, 2022 – 647,326,420 confirmed infections; 6,647,910 deaths
December 10, 2020 – 68,849,000 confirmed infections; 1,568,750 deaths

US (Map
December 8, 2022 – 99,269,100 confirmed infections; 1,083,645 deaths
December 10 – 15,385,00 confirmed infections; 289,500 deaths

SA (Coronavirus portal
December 8, 2022 - 4,043,545 confirmed infections; 102,465 deaths
December 10 – 829,600 confirmed infections; 22,580 deaths

Post from
December 9, 2021, 2021 “Year 3 of the Covid Era” 
December 10, 2020, “Wear a mask” 

News blues…

Covid appeared to go underground for the summer and fall – at least in the SF Bay Area. Now it’s reappearing, along with ‘flu and RSV - Respiratory syncytial virus, a common respiratory virus that usually causes mild, cold-like symptoms.
My Covid-cautious “bubble” of friends and acquaintances avoided Thanksgiving meal get-togethers this year as several close friends were infected prior to the holiday. Thankfully, all are well again.
***
On war… and culture war

Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky is this year’s 2022 Person of the Year.
Read more >> 
Illustration by Neil Jamieson for TIME
Source Images: Getty Images (12); Ivanchuk: Lena Mucha—The New York Times/Redux;
Kondratova: Kristina Pashkina—UNICEF; Kutkov:
Courtesy Oleg Kutkov; Nott: Annabel Moeller—David Nott Foundation;
Payevska: Evgeniy Maloletka—AP
***
The Lincoln Project:
Trump Against The Constitution(1:10 mins)
It begins again  (0:58 mins)
Last week in the Republican Party - December 6, 2022  (2:12 mins)

Healthy planet, anyone?

Infinite waste in boundless seas – a photo essay >> 

Meanwhile, back at the ranch…

Been on hiatus … taking care of a friend. Meso Mary finished her 4th and last session of this first round of chemo. While each session was progressively more intense, the last session was the worst. Indeed, Mary has still not recovered to the point she was before she began that last session. 
It has been tough, perhaps made worse by the cold and wet weather. Who, after all, wants to step outside, wrapped up in winter woolies while feeling – and being – nauseous? Certainly not Mary, nor me accompanying her if she's not so inclined. 
Next step: CT scan to ascertain the results of the four session of intense chemotherapy.  The downside? CT scans only detect active malignancies that are at least one centimeter in size. This scan will act as a baseline to inform the next scan and the next stage of mesothelioma.
***
The good news? California and the SF Bay Area have benefitted from the rain. Not too much, not too little; just the right amount, so far. 
The worry is that, as has happened for the past several years, we have rain in December then it stops and there’s no more rain. Here’s hopin’ that’s not this year’s pattern.
***
SF Bay Area:
Sunrise: 7:12am
Sunset: 4:49pm

KZN, South Africa:
Sunrise: 4:51am
Sunset: 6:51pm