Showing posts with label second wave. Show all posts
Showing posts with label second wave. Show all posts

Wednesday, October 21, 2020

“Not much”

The President of the United States, faced with a still-raging virus that has sickened 8.2 million Americans and killed 221,000, says that there is "not much" that he would have done differently if he could do things all over
In the real world, where people scramble every day to assist others and stay safe themselves during a global scourge, the numbers of infected and dead around the world continue to rise.
Worldwide (Map
October 22 – 41,150,000 confirmed infections; 1,130.410 deaths
September 24 – 31,780,000 confirmed infections; 975,100 deaths

US (Map)  
October 22 – 8,333,595 confirmed infections; 222,100 deaths
September 24 – 6,935,000 confirmed infections; 201,880 deaths
Covid-19 is surging in small-town America.

SA (Coronavirus portal)  
October 22 – 708,360 confirmed infections; 18,750 deaths
September 24 – 665,190 confirmed infections; 16,206 deaths

Argentina, emerging as a recent hotspot of concern, surpassed 1 million coronavirus cases last Monday, with smaller cities seeing some of the most notable upticks.
Doctors have had to quadruple the number of beds for COVID-19 patients over the last month. At least 60% of those tested recently are coming back positive for the virus.
Across Latin America, three other nations are expected to reach the 1 million case milestone in the coming weeks — Colombia, Mexico and Peru. The grim mark comes as Latin America continues to register some of the world’s highest daily case counts. And though some nations have seen important declines, overall there has been little relief, with cases dropping in one municipality only to escalate in another.
The trajectory is showing that the pandemic is likely to leave no corner of Latin America unscathed.
“The second wave is arriving without ever having finished the first,” said Dr. Luis Jorge Hernández, a public health professor at the University of the Andes in Colombia. 

News blues…

CDC’s Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report finds:
…an estimated 299,028 excess deaths occurred from late January through October 3, 2020, with 198,081 (66%) excess deaths attributed to COVID-19. The largest percentage increases were seen among adults aged 25–44 years and among Hispanic or Latino persons. 
***
Johns Hopkins Health Policy Forum’s Fireside chat with Dr Fauci.  (41:00 mins)
***
The Lincoln Project:
Imagine  (0:58 mins)
Mourning in Iowa  (0:55 mins)
Deadbeat  (0:55 mins)

My most recent (fundraising) email from The Lincoln Project states:
We are poised to go down in history as the tipping point in this election…
But we can’t be complacent; we must finish the fight.
Right now is the most intense, and most expensive, part of the entire election. We are laser-focused on expanding our coalition and driving turnout of potential Lincoln Voters in the final 13 days before Election Day…

Trump will not relent in his efforts to steal this election — we must ensure a resounding repudiation that truly humiliates him, so he has no choice but to concede.
… Our nation's choice is America, or Trump.

All the way back in January, Steve Bannon told the Associated Press that if The Lincoln Project could move 3-4% of Republican voters away from Donald Trump—the "Bannon Line," as we call it — we would be a threat.
Well guess what? That was what we set out to do, and that's exactly what we've done.
And now, our historic movement is being recognized as the deciding factor in this election.
The first step in eradicating Trumpism is repudiating Donald Trump and evicting him from the White House.
That first step is within reach, but it's wholly dependent on the actions we take right now.
For over three years, Trump has eroded our democratic norms, crushed our institutions, and has now literally left us all for dead.
While his enablers in the Senate have stood idly by, patriots like you are taking a stand against the most un-American president in history.
The “Bannon Line” has been hit, breached, and stormed past.
We are winning.
Trump is losing.

But we have to finish the fight.
The email continues with its request for funds to continue the work. (Go to The Lincoln Project if you’d like to contribute. .)

Healthy futures, anyone?

A reminder about amazing and lovely creatures that (currently) exist on our planet – and why We the People must struggle to return our shared planet to health.  

Meanwhile, back at the ranch…

Not a single nibble on the house sale.
Worrisome.
My solution? Blending compost in an elderly concrete mixer. Five bags full and counting. And imagining the well-nourished plants in my future. 
***
Lockdown is getting really old…. 
As we say in South Africa, "vasbyt" 



Friday, October 16, 2020

Dreaming compost

News blues…

'On the brink of disaster': Europe's Covid fight takes a turn for the worse. 
Europe’s second coronavirus wave took a dramatic turn for the worse this week, forcing governments across the continent to make tough choices as more than a dozen countries reported their highest ever number of new infections.
In France, 18 million people in nine big cities risk a fine from Saturday if they are not at home by 9pm. In the Czech Republic, schools have closed and medical students are being enlisted to help doctors. All Dutch bars and restaurants are shut.
Austria, Belgium, the Czech Republic, France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands and Poland are among countries to have broken daily case records, prompting the World Health Organization to call for an “uncompromising” effort to stem the spread.
***
US passes 8m coronavirus cases as death toll approaches 220,000 
The US passed 8m recorded coronavirus cases on Friday, another unwelcome mark for the country with the most cases and the worst death toll from the global pandemic, approaching 220,000.
Despite there being no sign that the pandemic is under control in the US, on Thursday Donald Trump said that the virus would “peter out”.
Cases are increasing in 32 states, holding steady in 15 and decreasing in just three: Louisiana, Kentucky and Vermont.
***
My trusty coronavirus daily reporting app reports South Africa’s toll of new confirmed infections yesterday: more than 2,000.
The third wave?
***
Rats abandon the sinking ship that is the Donald Trump presidency. Watch for a new CNN special scheduled to air [US time] Sunday night, "The Insiders: A Warning from Former Trump Officials," in which former senior administration officials - including former national security adviser John Bolton, former Health and Human Services scientist Rick Bright and former Department of Homeland Security general counsel John Mitnick - explain why they think the President is unfit for office. 
The big question: why did they wait so long? Fear? Self-interest? Readying to exploit any power that came their way?
***
The Lincoln Project:

Meidas Touch:

Healthy planet, anyone?

Qanon. What the…? As conspiracies grow… protect your body from coronavirus best you can – masks, sanitize, distance - and protect your brain from the conspiracy virus. You, and our planet, cannot afford the time sink these conspiracies require. Jitarth Jadeja’s story 

Meanwhile, back at the ranch…

First snake this season: Rhombic night adder. 
The area I live in now is 1050 meters/3445 feet above sea level. The area where I grew up – Valley of a Thousand Hills - is 799 meters/2621 feet. Those 250 meters/820 feet make a difference in snake populations: fewer snakes here than there. This young Rhombic night adder  toured the perimeter of the ground floor verandah, I used a stout stick to encourage it toward the garden and pond (frogs are a favorite food). It hissed and  squeaked - like air escaping a too-tight suit. I kept my distance, took photos, and enjoyed its lovely markings. 
***
Fruit cake is back! Also known as Christmas cake, South Africa’s dark, rich fruit cake is not found in California. Subsequently, it’s a big attraction. It disappeared from shelves the beginning of Lockdown and re-appeared yesterday. Let the feasting begin!
***
After mixing another large bag of compost, I checked in with the realtor regarding an approximate date I might move into my new small living unit. She reports, “perhaps by the end of November.” I’m looking forward to spilling this gorgeous, fecund compost into my new garden. The plants I intend to grow will love it!
***
Talking about compost… A life goal is, one day in the future, to lie on my bed, review my life, and marvel at the wild ride it has been.
I’ve discovered I was gifted with remarkable resilience and determination and I put these to work each day.
Moreover, I’ve been meeting semi-regularly with a local psychotherapist to guide me through the thickets, roots, and manure that made me who I am. To this end, I began another Dream Journal – recording dreams to examine and make conscious presentations from my unconscious.
Last night’s dream is memorable, not so much for the actual dream, but for its manifestation on paper (photo, left).
How to decipher this mess?



Wednesday, October 14, 2020

Scamdemic

There’s no good news about Covid-19. More than 200 days – 29 weeks - of lockdown in South Africa and deadly infections continues to spread, here, there, everywhere. A new global high in infections with resurging cases in Germany, France, UK, US, other countries… 
The US is at high risk as flu season approaches…  (5:45 mins)
Protect yourself and others. Wear a mask, sanitize, keep your distance. Be wise, be practical, avoid conspiracy theories and “scamdemics” (see below).

Worldwide (Map
October 15 – 38,426,375 confirmed infections; 1,091,250 deaths
September 17 – 29,764,000 confirmed infections; 939,450 deaths
US (Map)  
October 15 – 7,911,500 confirmed infections; 216,860 deaths
September 17 – 6,631,650 confirmed infections; 196,800 deaths
SA (Coronavirus portal
October 15 – 696,420 confirmed infections; 18,155 deaths
September 17 – 653,445 confirmed infections; 15,705 deaths

News blues…

Texan Tony Green dismissed Covid-19, contracted it, survived it, and - after hosting an event that led to multiple infections - lives with the knowledge that he was likely responsible for at least 14 members of his family contracting it – of which two died.
I used to call it the ‘scamdemic.’ I thought it was an overblown media hoax. I made fun of people for wearing masks… [Now] The feeling that I have is kind of like what a drunk driver would have if they killed their family.” 
***
The Lincoln Project co-founder Steve Schmidt’s latest email blast:
The United States Senate has historically been revered as the world’s greatest deliberative body.
Indeed, there was once a time that was true.
But today, the Republican Senate Majority has turned it into a clown show, full of grandstanding, self-aggrandizing, indolent, power-hungry cowards who have neglected their duty, evaded accountability, and betrayed their oaths to the Constitution.
Donald Trump is an acute and especially perilous threat to the pillars of our democracy, our national security, and the very fabric of our Republic. But he could not induce so much destruction to our nation and desecration of his office if not for the dereliction of duty by these obsequious enablers.
That is why they must go.
And we have them on the run.
Mitch McConnell is scrambling as he watches his majority crumble before him, with the likes of Lindsey Graham and Joni Ernst nearing defeat.
These Senators made a choice. Instead of affirming their loyalty to the Constitution and to the American people, Mitch, Lindsey, et al. shirked responsibility in lieu of greed and the brazen pursuit of political gain.
The Lincoln Project is working day and night to defeat Trump and Trumpism. Nobody who threatens the survival of our country will be safe hiding in the Senate.
Victory is within reach; the finish line is in sight.
Trump TV  (1:55 mins)
RVAT: Remember when  (0:33 mins)
Trump’s Voter Fraud, Sexy Superspreading & Biden-Bashing  (13:30 mins)

Healthy planet, anyone?

Leading scientists urge rewilding to mitigate the climate crisis. 
***
Let’s hear it for voracious goats… 
The problem, however, is larger than goats. A root problem? Lack of agreement on root causes, even on terminology, along with ideology – including capitalism – hamper any progress.
Since 2019, catastrophic fires have afflicted the Amazon, the Congo basin, Australia, Siberia, Argentina, and countless other places. While some on the political Right were in denial that anything unusual was happening, today the entire political spectrum is in agreement that something is horribly amiss. In the US, the Right offers candidate explanations like poor forest management, while Democratic politicians emphasize climate change. What they both agree on is that the current state of affairs in abnormal, unacceptable, and requires action. This, at least, is progress.
Read Charles Eisenstein’s essay World on Fire 

Meanwhile, back at the ranch…

On a scale of 1 to 10, packing up someone else’s home is a 9. It could be worse, but it’s not easy. Forays into the garden – to weed or simply to appreciate plants, birds, animals – help tamp down the anxiety.
I’ll make another trip to the Care Center today – this time to deliver a chair so my mother can more easily access her closet. For a former project manager, an added stress is the lack of attention to what was, briefly, a coherent plan for execution. Instead, we have constant changing of mind about objects needed, not needed, and essential – at least, until tomorrow.
Each morning, I review my litany of stress-related aches and pains – particularly from clenching my jaws while asleep. Then I promise myself that today I’ll find time to relax. Inch by inch, we move forward. But, oh, it hurts!
***
Latest news about the drunken son of my mother’s domestic worker (who threatened to kill, abuse, etc., me). He relocated to Mpophemeni, a local township. According to our gardener and remaining live-in domestic worker, the drunk’s abusive antics in the township are raising eyebrows and ire. Residents urge our staff to “call his mother to come get him – or someone will kill him.” 
Already, he has been beaten and bruised by angry township residents. Alas, his mother’s family do not want him in their township either. A case of chickens coming home to roost?



Monday, October 12, 2020

“Cowori”

In an Amazonian language, “cowori” has come to mean “man knows too little for the power that he wields, and the damage that he causes.” 
Ain’t it the truth?  (Read the piece, below.)

News blues…

***
The Lincoln Project: Walk of Shame  (0:55 mins)
Inside the Lincoln Project's campaign against President Trump  (13:33 mins)
Don Winslow Films: Memo to Trump  (0:34 mins)

Healthy planet, anyone?

According to a report by insurance firm Swiss Re, trillions of dollars of GDP depend on biodiversity, and a fifth of countries are at risk of ecosystem collapse. 
Along with Australia and Israel, South Africa ranks near the top of Swiss Re’s index of risk to biodiversity and ecosystem services; India, Spain and Belgium are also highlighted; countries with fragile ecosystems and large farming sectors, such as Pakistan and Nigeria, are also flagged.
One-fifth of the world’s countries are at risk of their ecosystems collapsing because of the destruction of wildlife and their habitats, according to the analysis. Natural “services” such as food, clean water and air, and flood protection have already been damaged by human activity. More than half of global GDP – $42tn (£32tn) – depends on high-functioning biodiversity … but the risk of tipping points is growing.
***
Dear presidents of the nine Amazonian countries and to all world leaders that share responsibility for the plundering of our rainforest,
In each of our many hundreds of different languages across the Amazon, we have a word for you – the outsider, the stranger. In my language, WaoTededo, that word is “cowori”. And it doesn’t need to be a bad word. But you have made it so. For us, the word has come to mean (and in a terrible way, your society has come to represent): the white man that knows too little for the power that he wields, and the damage that he causes.  
My name is Nemonte Nenquimo. I am a Waorani woman, a mother, and a leader of my people. The Amazon rainforest is my home. I am writing you this letter because the fires are raging still. Because the corporations are spilling oil in our rivers. Because the miners are stealing gold (as they have been for 500 years), and leaving behind open pits and toxins. Because the land grabbers are cutting down primary forest so that the cattle can graze, plantations can be grown and the white man can eat. Because our elders are dying from coronavirus, while you are planning your next moves to cut up our lands to stimulate an economy that has never benefited us. Because, as Indigenous peoples, we are fighting to protect what we love – our way of life, our rivers, the animals, our forests, life on Earth – and it’s time that you listened to us.
Read Nemonte Nenquimo’s letter. 
***

Meanwhile, back at the ranch…

I arrived in KZN from California on 28 January, intending to assist my mother, get things in order, ensure her appropriate health care (she was treated for oral cancer a year ago), and return to my American family 28 May, to work, live… until next year.
Instead, a global pandemic and lock down followed.
I’m still here. My mother is in a Care Center, I’m packing up piles of stuff, working with auctioneers, realtors, and municipal and legal bureaucracies, to ensure the sale of her house, settle her pets, down to details such as today’s activity: move, remove, and replace one of my mother’s beds with another – and find sheets and bed clothes that fit the replacement bed.
Two weeks ago, I made an offer on my own retirement unit in KZN. It was accepted so, at a distance of 14,000 miles, I’m organizing my life in California so that I’m not financially bust when I return, organizing my gear here so that I’ve a place to move into when this house is sold, organizing my thinking so that I can return to California - and an income generating job – as soon a possible.
I’m also discovering and deeply exploring the dynamics of my family of origin. It ain’t pretty. One misses a lot in four decades.
Simultaneously, I’m deeply grateful that I have this opportunity. I’m learning I’m resilient, unflinching, and, yes, even compassionate.
Life is complex.
***
Life is also diverse.
Yesterday’s sojourn in the garden included a Brown hooded kingfisher. 



 



Tuesday, August 18, 2020

Second wave?

Lockdown Alert Level 2 began at 1 minute after midnight. Smokers and imbibers of alcohol are back in business!

News blues…

New Zealand, Italy, Spain, UK, the US – all experiencing second waves of Covid-19 infections. Can South Africa be far behind?
The South African Medical Association says a second wave of COVID-19 should be expected… to take place within the next 8-12 weeks.
While the association has welcomed the easing of the lockdown, it is warning that the fight against the coronavirus is far from over.
***
At last, the conversation begins in the US about deeply investigating – and charging, as necessary – abuses against the US Constitution by the current president and his enablers.
A Presidential Crimes Commission, aka a Trump Crimes Commission.  (15:16 mins)
Congressman Swalwell calls for inquiry and, if required, prosecution of wrong-doing in Trump administration. Republican Glen Kirschner explains.  
And, today’s update  (7:35 mins)

The Lincoln Project – comprised of former Republicans – states:
Tonight, at the Democratic National Convention, we'll witness a piece of history. A prominent voice crossing party lines to put country over party. [Republican] Governor John Kasich was the last man standing in the 2016 GOP primary. Now he's backing former Vice President Biden.
When we set out nine months ago to rally Republicans to the Constitution and against Donald Trump, we weren’t sure how big a movement we would find, or who would answer the call.
We have become a true force in this campaign.
What Governor Kasich is doing tonight is rare and historic. That’s because we’re at a historic crossroads, where we must choose: America or Trump?
Across America, there are millions of Republicans like Governor Kasich, patriotic voters choosing America over Trump. We’re proud to count many of them among our supporters.
Just last week, we launched an eight-state campaign to convince reluctant Trump voters that the cost of four more years would be too high.
Our goal? Persuade 3-5% of Republicans to switch their votes to Joe Biden — from the suburbs, to deep red rural counties — and make sure Joe Biden wins by such a wide margin, no one ever tries Trumpism again.
I never imagined I’d promote Republican values. Indeed, I’m not promoting Republican values, rather I’m giving credit where credit is due. I’m amazed – even proud of - Republicans speaking out against what they perceive as a betrayal of their values by the Trumpies.
Might this start a trend where the US becomes less polarized?
Might Americans speak out against the betrayal of American values, no matter their political affiliation?
Here’s hopin’
1306 days of Trump done, 78 days to the election… 
Insist on your right to vote via mail-in ballots, then go vote, Americans!
***
California’s extreme temperatures trigger power outages “as the state’s power grid became overwhelmed by energy demands.”
A Stage 3 emergency alert was declared … by the California Independent System Operator, which runs the state’s power grid. The agency has not declared a statewide emergency of this kind since 2001. More than 300,000 customers in both Northern and Southern California were without power….
Temperatures for some parts of the state are expected to reach [indeed, are already reaching] into the triple digits….
Across the country, some 150 million people are set to experience temperatures hotter than 90 degrees over the next week, and 50 million of those forecast to experience temperatures over 100 degrees.
More than 80 million people were under heat alerts Friday from the Central and Southern Plains as well as for nearly the entire West Coast. The myriad heat alerts covering the map included heat advisories, excessive heat watches and excessive heat warnings all issued by the National Weather Service.
Meanwhile, “Eskom implored South Africans to reduce their energy use…and implemented stage 2 load shedding following plant breakdowns. 

 Power outages. Load shedding. A rose by any other name….
US terminology for power outages/load shedding:
“Rolling blackout”: a defined period during which power may or may not go off.
“Public safety shutdown”: a specific time during which power will go off to ensure power lines do not ignite wildfires.
*** 
The Lincoln Project: Dad  (2:25 mins)
Meet Mother  (2:15 mins)
Divorce Trump  (0:55 mins)
Trump the Internet: Trump Bible Study - The Prodigal Son  (9:25 mins)
From Rosa to Kamala  (1:55 mins)
Randy Rainbow: “Kamala”  (3:40 mins)

Healthy futures, anyone?

One of our planet’s amazing creatures: the Lyre Bird.  (2:57 mins)
Imagine life on this planet without its astonishing variety and diversity. Then, find a community of people with whom you can work to ensure the continuation of that astonishing variety and diversity. Get to work on healthy futures….

Meanwhile, back at the ranch…

The opening of liquor stores has the alcohol imbibers of the country a-twitter. At 10:00am this morning, one hour after liquor stores reopened, my mother called the local store for a delivery of her favorite wine. The manager informed her, “We’re sold out!” 
I happened to be in a different shopping mall and thought to purchase a couple of bottles of her favorite wine. One look at the long queue (“the line”) - 20 people, socially distanced - dissuaded me.
*** 
Eskom (SA’s national electricity provider) sent a tree trimming crew to this neighborhood yesterday to buzz-cut growing trees. All day long, the neighborhood endured hours of high-pitched buzzing.
Click to enlarge. 
Alas, the trimming crew revealed itself as more of a butchering crew. This photo (left) shows one formerly beautiful swamp cypress - branches and crown demolished.

What remains are heaps of shorn branches detached from trunk and left to the vagaries of August’s winds. 

Photo, below left, shows a different Eskom's team's tree trimming abilities from five years ago. 
Lobsided, but the tree maintains its crown and continues growing. 

Is it too much to ask that Eskom run their tree trimming crews through basic training on pruning? Or, are my standards simply too high? 

Click to enlarge. 
***
I’ve been in near-hibernation mode due to one hundred forty-five days of Lockdown, more than ten weeks of winter, and gobs of socio-cultural stress.
Unlike Trump’s version of Covid-19, my stress will not “magically go away,” but Level 2 brings with it the possibility of action.
Today, finally - after a delay of four months – I plan to visit the person who manages the place that might offer a comfortable, caring environment for my elderly mother and one dog.