Showing posts with label CDC. Show all posts
Showing posts with label CDC. Show all posts

Saturday, October 23, 2021

Atmospheric river

News blues

Boosting boosters…
I dropped by the friendly pharmacy at the local grocery store that delivers Covid jabs for an update. According to my reckoning, I’m due for a booster by December and wanted to confirm that’s the soonest I can get the jab.
Perhaps it’s a sign of the times – supply chains, inefficiency, etc., – but this major grocery store had posted someone at the entrance to prevent shoppers from entering. “The computer system has gone down. We don’t expect it up for at least another hour. Come back then.”
Hmmm. 
Being anti-shopping in general and particularly anti-shopping on weekends, I’ll try again on Monday. Meantime, I continue to read and try to make sense of the plethora of conflicting and/or worrisome information about the pandemic. And, how to know when the pandemic becomes endemic 
***
Seeking resources and information on Covid vaccines? Explore the CDC website  >>
***

Healthy planet, anyone?

Weather forecasters and emergency workers warn of impending atmospheric river – a deluge of rain. Rain in BA forecast Bay Area Bracing for Atmospheric River This Weekend 
This forecast sent me out in the glorious fall weather both to gauge the impact of rain we had over the last couple of days and to record now what’s likely to change in the next day. 
Gutters struggling to absorb what's fallen so far.

This neighborhood pond looked parched just a week ago.
Accepting storm water, it's looking healthier this week.
Next week? If rain falls as forecast, it'll be flush.

Ducks and coots appreciate the additional fresh water.

Storm clouds (facing east)

Storm clouds over San Francisco (facing west).
Let the rains begin...












Wednesday, October 20, 2021

October updates

Today’s Covid numbers compared with numbers exactly one year ago:
(Note: worldwide, we’re on the cusp of 5 million dead.) 
Worldwide (Map
October 21, 2021 – 241,837,800 confirmed infections; 4,917,467 deaths
October 22, 2020 – 41,150,000 confirmed infections; 1,130.410 deaths
Worldwide vaccinations: 6,690,061,700. That’s 6.6 billion. Amazing.

US (Map
October 21, 2021 – 45,161,400 confirmed infections; 729,500 deaths
October 22, 2020 – 8,333,595 confirmed infections; 222,100 deaths

SA (Coronavirus portal
October 21, 2021 – 2,917,300 confirmed infections; 88,674 deaths
October 22, 2020 – 708,360 confirmed infections; 18,750 deaths

News blues

SA recorded 591 new Covid-19 cases and 80 deaths in the past 24 hours, according to the latest National Institute for Communicable Diseases (NICD). 
… Of the new cases, only two provinces recorded more than 100 infections in the past day — KwaZulu-Natal with 129 and the Western Cape with 124. Gauteng was third most affected, with 71. Limpopo had the fewest new cases, with seven recorded. 
***
Vaccines for kids ages 5-11 prepare to roll out, according to the CDC’s plan advising states on how to carry it out. 
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Where the rubber meets the road? Stopping the spread of COVID-19 is a great way to help U.S. military families, yet anti-vaxxers don’t see it that way: The Hypocrisy of the Anti-vax Patriot 
***
Seeking resources and information on Covid vaccines? Explore the CDC website >>
***
Whackidoodle-ism continues
The Lincoln Project: This week in the Republican Party  (2:00 mins)
One would think that, with close to 5 billion dead from a coronavirus on Planet Earth, contradictory humans would re-evaluate their points of view. Instead, too many continue to spew theories suitable only for Planet Whackidoodle:

Healthy planet, anyone?

California’s Dixie Fire is now 90% contained. The fire has burned a total of 963,195 acres, the largest single wildfire in California history.
See how California’s Dixie Fire  created its own weather … 
Tornadoes… 
Fire whirls … 
And atmospheric instability… 
Fires and climate change …  and more on fires and climate change 

Meanwhile, back at the ranch…

Other than continuing to prep my apartment for short-term rental – and respond to interested parties about that – life has been non-eventful. Intermittent rain continues… Pacific Flyway birds continue to arrive in the park and on the bay.
Life is good enough.


Getting tough

News blues

US Prez Biden is cracking down on vax-avoidant  states – finally!
Officials with US OSHA - Occupational Safety and Health Administration - are threatening to assert jurisdiction over workplace safety in three states that haven’t adopted President Joe Biden’s emergency regulation for health care facilities.
South Carolina, Arizona and Utah all have what are known as OSHA state plans. Federal OSHA oversees workplace safety around the country, but states are allowed to handle it on their own as long as they meet minimum federal requirements.
OSHA officials said Tuesday that those three states had missed the deadline to implement the Biden administration’s new rule meant to protect health care workers from COVID-19. If they don’t implement such a rule, the administration will move to revoke approval of their state OSHA plans — which would subject employers in South Carolina, Arizona and Utah to federally run inspections.
Read more >> 
***
Variant of the Delta variant?
Delta is the UK's dominant variant, but latest official data suggests 6% of Covid cases that have been genetically sequenced are of a new type.
AY.4.2, which some are calling "Delta Plus", contains mutations that might give the virus survival advantages.
… identified as AY.4.2, this offshoot or sublineage of Delta has been increasing slowly since then. It includes some new mutations affecting the spike protein, which the virus uses to penetrate our cells.
So far, there is no indication that it is considerably more transmissible as a result of these changes, but it is something experts are studying.
Read more >> 
***
Seeking resources and information on Covid vaccines? Explore the CDC website  >>
(0:35 mins)

***
The Lincoln Project: Rudy Giuliani loses it… again… here he is acting out the part of Abe Lincoln to blacklist a Democratic candidate  … then putting his foot in his mouth to be sued by The Lincoln Project . Will this madness ever end?

Healthy planet, anyone?

Rain has finally come to the Bay Area. This, as California records it’s driest year in nearly a century  and Gov. Newsom declares a statewide drought emergency and officials announce that Californians reduced water use an average of 5% in August..
Rain falls only in winter in California and, usually, it’s a gentle rainfall, perhaps windy but seldom accompanied by thunder and lightning. Lightning is an anomaly and, when it occurs, frequently ends up as a spectacular photo on the front page of local newspapers.
Rainfall in Kwa Zulu Natal, on the other hand, usually is accompanied by thunder and lightning. The rainy season has begun there, too.
Water. Life giving.
***
Also life giving? A sacred valley. Could it be designated America’s next national monument? If successful, the designation would end a decades-long fight to protect rare swamp cedars — and a key Native American site >> 

Meanwhile, back at the ranch…


In Houston, Texas, a new theme for children’s birthday parties: Indoor skydiving….  Shown here, a member of the family checking it out as a venue for grandson’s birthday party with 5 of his friends. Woo hoo!


Thursday, October 7, 2021

Confusion and complication

Worldwide (Map
October 7, 2021 – 236,735,200 confirmed infections; 4,832,640 deaths
October 8, 2020 – 36,069,000 confirmed infections; 1,055,000 deaths
Total vaccine doses administered: 6,388,963,635

US (Map
October 7, 2021 – 44,086,000 confirmed infections; 708,200 deaths
October 8, 2020 – 7,550,000 confirmed infections; 212,000 deaths

SA (Coronavirus portal
October 7, 2021 – 2,909,000 confirmed infections; 88,000 deaths
October 8, 2020 – 685,155 confirmed infections; 17,250 deaths

News blues

Moving in the right direction…. Compare the post describing the Covid goings-on one year ago, “Debatable”,  to California today:
Although the twists and turns of the COVID-19 pandemic may continue to surprise us, California seems to be in good shape at this time.
Read more >>

Misinformation and conflicting information have been constant features of this pandemic. Even as people line up for booster shots of Pfizer, confusion continues.
A vocal contingent of prominent doctors and scientists is pressing the Biden administration to scrap its plans to provide booster shots to all previously vaccinated adults, according to five people familiar with the matter.
Several of these outside experts, including some who advised President Joe Biden’s transition team, objected to the administration’s approach during a private, off-the-record call last week with federal health officials. Current U.S. data on vaccine performance does not justify using boosters widely to reduce the risk of breakthrough infections and slow the virus’ spread, the experts said.
Read more >> 
***
Seeking resources and information on Covid vaccines? Explore the CDC website  >>
***
The Lincoln Project
Glen Trumpkin  (0:025 mins)
Last Week in the Republican Party... (1:40 mins)

Healthy planet, anyone?

Which Climate Threats Are Most Worrisome? U.S. Agencies Made a List.
Two dozen federal agencies flagged the biggest dangers posed by a warming planet. The list spreads across American society >> 

Meanwhile, back at the ranch…

Earlier this week I mused about what the Covid Clinic might teach me this week.
Now I know… that I’m a commute wimp, that I have limits, that titrating work, workdays, commute, and compensation, and that assessing my stress levels and finding them wanting is a good thing – at least for me. As of the end of this week, my days of sitting in traffic congestion for 1.5 hours each way, 12.5-hour workdays, insufficient sleep, and constant stress are over.
Stress includes a constant reminder that the ragtag “team” caretaking my mother’s house in South Africa needs more direction than they’re getting from California. It’s time to plan a return.
One thing I know for certain: I will never again use the travel agency called FlyUs. After more that a year back-and-forthing via email (not a single actual person to talk to)for the refund for the flight they cancelled due to lockdown (Yes, I had travel insusrance), they've informed me no refund is forthcoming. Work and commuting long hours meant I had little time remaining to launch a fuller request. Whatever you do, do not use FlyUs for your travel needs.
Life. It’s complicated.


Thursday, February 25, 2021

Shot in the arm

Pandemic street art in Copenhagen 
Courtesy of street artists everywhere, enjoy the view of street art around the world.

News blues…

Covid-19 vaccination programs:
Vaccine question: Once I get the vaccine, what precautions do I still need to take?
Sarah Zhang, Atlantic Monthly staff writer responds:
If you and a small group of friends are all fully vaccinated, congrats. You can relax precautions among one another. If you’re with unvaccinated people, though, remember that your risks are smaller, but not zero. Your chance of getting sick is significantly reduced (by about 95 percent), and your risk of infecting others is likely also much lower. (That exact statistic is still unknown, but is probably less than 95 percent.) Your tolerance for these risks might depend on whether the unvaccinated people you’re with are at risk for COVID-19 because of other reasons.
I think there’s another reason to keep wearing masks in public, at least for now. The strangers around you in a grocery store have no way of knowing whether you’re vaccinated. Wearing a mask is also a signal that you take the virus seriously and believe that we’re in this together—because we are. We can all get back to our normal lives when enough people have been vaccinated that the coronavirus no longer poses much of a threat in schools, workplaces, or even a big, crowded party.
Tracking Covid-19 vaccinations worldwide 
***
Good news for the US: Merrik Garland at his confirmation hearing US Attorney General. Take a a moment and watch a really decent human being – intelligent, humble, public minded, and cognizant of history – explain what motivates him. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mICmR9luUeE
Soon-to-be US Attorney General elect Merrick Garland is the guy Senator Mitch McConnel refused to allow a hearing to serve on the Supreme Court of the United States. 

Healthy planet, anyone?

I didn’t realize until day’s end yesterday, that I’d not completed posting to this blog. I’d posted one third of the usual then – likely distracted by the intense wind and thunderstorm – I’d forgotten to complete the posting.
Was that yet another sign that 49 weeks of lockdown causes brain burps?

What can you do to maintain healthy brain and heart during lockdown? Some folks keep chickens or organize chutney tastings, or draw one another. These 56 small, affordable suggestions won’t end lockdown misery, but they might help. 

Below, Atlantic Monthly writers and editors offer their best suggestions for maintaining sanity during lockdown
Alexis C. Madrigal, staff writer, takes a neighborhood plant walk.
I have taken up night walks, wandering the empty streets of Oakland and Berkeley after my kids go to bed. Every once in a while, I find a succulent from a neighbor and snip just a tiny piece. Then, I take it home, stick it in water, and wait for its roots to sprout and grow down. Eventually I plant it in the tiny garden that I've built.
Shan Wang, senior editor, suggests building on your indoor garden.
Grow it; don’t throw it: Plant some kitchen scraps (lemon seeds, lentils, celery stalks, avocado pits) and watch new life happen in days, no extra soil or pots required.

Call someone, says Rebecca J. Rosen, senior editor.
Pick up your phone and call—actually call; don’t text—a friend just to catch up. Any time I have talked to a friend during this pandemic, I have found the conversation restorative, grounding, and gratifying. Plus, you never know when the person on the other end of the line really needs a friend, too.

Emma Green, staff writer, makes pierogies.
One weekend, perhaps seized by the spirit of some ancient Polish ancestor, I found myself irresistibly drawn to the idea of making pierogies. The little dumplings require an astonishing amount of time and patience, at least by my standards, but the process is meditative, and at the end, you have something delicious for the freezer.
Do like Marina Koren, staff writer , and take a fake commute.
If you're working remotely, create a daily commute and take a walk around the block in the morning. Quarantine has blurred so many work-life boundaries that even a pretend journey can feel refreshing.
 
Learn about cicadas, says A.C. Valdez, senior podcast producer.
Maybe you or your kids are fascinated by bugs. If so (and if an overabundance of insects isn’t too biblical-plague-esque for you), now’s a perfect time to study up on them before your spring hikes: The Brood X cicadas are emerging for the first time in 17 years. (Did you know that there are also 13-year broods?)

Kate Cray, assistant editor, and friends host a standing Zoom get-together.
A group of my friends organized a standing nightly Zoom meeting for the month of February as part of a plan to revive a college tradition. This structure has (perhaps ironically) recreated both the consistency and the spontaneity that I’ve been missing socially. The meetings are planned, but it’s always a surprise who will show up. They help to fight against the instinct toward self-isolation by removing any barriers to seeing friends: Someone will be on the call each night.
 
“Change up your hair (but don't give yourself bangs)” – from Karen Ostergren, deputy copy chief
Every day is the same. Every day is overwhelming. You scroll through Instagram, bored, procrastinating, and see the same ad as always, for brightly colored hair dye, until one time you hit Purchase. Why not? It turns the floor of your shower purple; now you’ve got Saturday-night plans. And the next time you see yourself in a mirror, you smile—for once, not everything is the same.
Take on a home-improvement project, as did Amanda Mull, staff writer.
The most satisfying things that I’ve done for myself in the past year have been a series of small home-improvement projects, such as swapping out my kitchen faucet for a model with a higher neck and spray nozzle. DIY projects work on several levels—they give you something new to learn, they require you to put down your phone and focus on the task in front of you, and they provide the satisfaction of solving a problem whose solution you can see and appreciate every day.

And… buy new socks.
This is sad, says Paul Bisceglio, Health, Science, and Technology editor, but even the smallest novelties help. I ordered two pairs the other week just to have something to feel excited about.

Caroline Mimbs Nyce, senior associate editor: Set micro-goals, and track your habits.
I know, I know. This seems like the kind of toothless advice that the worst person you know would offer on LinkedIn. But it works: My habit calendar guided me through a turbulent January, forcing me to take five-minute stretch breaks and get outside once aper day. Crossing my daily tasks off also helped me visualize the passing of time. 

Nora Kelly Lee, senior editor, Politics: Do a clothing-and-other-items-that-can-be-donated purge.
The pandemic is nothing if not clarifying, and one thing it’s helped me realize is that I have too much stuff. Twice this past year, I’ve gone through my belongings—clothing, books, kitchenware, decor—and separated out items for donation. Hopefully, my neighbors will find them as useful or educational or beautiful as I once did.

Volunteer, suggests Katie Martin, associate art director.
Many organizations offer creative ways to serve the community while staying safe. You can organize a contactless food drive, tutor a student over Zoom, or answer a domestic abuse hotline. I consistently find a deep sense of purpose and connection in meeting and helping my neighbors.

Meanwhile, back at the ranch…

Raining again - still. And heavy rainfall, too. If I was a narcissist I’d see it as a direct challenge on my ability not to have my 2.5 year old request to local public works department acknowledged. The blocked culverts I’ve tried to address for almost 1,000 days are still blocked. (Prior to my getting on board, my brother tried for at least a year, too. They ignored him. Now they’re ignoring me.) 
Nor is the local city councilor is responding to my calls anymore. 
Think about it. We pay high “rates” (property tax) each month and the street pot holes only get bigger, deeper and more numerous. Add to that, neighborhood roads and street Stop signs generally not maintained. Culverts are not as common as street signs but blocked culverts create stagnant water that breed mosquitos and other pathogens as well as endanger properties along the flooding stream. Meanwhile, residents’ rates and utilities bills only increase.
Americans get a lot of flack around the world for their litigious instincts. There really is something to be said for residents’ ability to sue…
Whaddya say South Africans? Shall we get onto the litigious band wagon?
***
Resuming an obsession. It’s been months since I’ve felt the need to track the sun’s rising and setting schedule. Alas, dawn is later and later each day down here on the semi-tip of Africa. Time to begin tracking again: 
Feb 26: sunrise 5:47am; sunset 6:33 pm.


Friday, January 8, 2021

Fact? Or Fake?

Breaking news: Mexico declares it WILL pay for the wall. 
Canada wants a wall, too. 
(That’s a joke! These days, hard to tell fact from fake.)

News blues…

US president MIA as more than 4,000 Americans dead in one day from Covid-19. Additionally, my Covid-alert app reported, early this morning, a 24-hour increase in infections of more than 22,000 South Africans. 
We’re in the thick of things, folks. Wear your mask, wash your hands, and stay home….

***
Senator Lindsey Graham, Republican, arch-Trump supporter, Trump golf companion,  and chair of the Senate Judiciary Committee faced furious Trumpies at a DC airport Surrounded by a cadre of security guards, Trumpies followed Graham down the hallway, calling out “traitor” and “you know it was rigged!”  (0:58 mins)
***
More fact? Or more fake?
Reports of a highly contagious new variant in the United States ... are based on speculative statements made by Dr. Deborah Birx and are inaccurate, according to several government officials. 
The erroneous report originated at a recent meeting where Dr. Birx, a member of the White House coronavirus task force, presented graphs of the escalating cases in the country. She suggested to other members of the task force that a new, more transmissible variant originating in the U.S. might explain the surge, as another variant did in Britain.
Her hypothesis made it into a weekly report sent to state governors. “This fall/winter surge has been at nearly twice the rate of rise of cases as the spring and summer surges. This acceleration suggests there may be a USA variant that has evolved here, in addition to the UK variant that is already spreading in our communities and may be 50% more transmissible,” the report read. “Aggressive mitigation must be used to match a more aggressive virus.”
Dismayed, officials at the C.D.C. tried to have the speculative statements removed, but were unsuccessful, according to three people familiar with the events.
C.D.C. officials did not agree with her assessment and asked to remove it but were told no, according to one frustrated C.D.C. official, speaking on condition of anonymity for fear of retaliation.
Dr. Birx could not immediately be reached for comment.
Yesterday, I was forwarded a long, highly inaccurate text from “Robert F. Kennedy, Jr,” that began, “To all my patients…” The screed combined many of the usual conspiracy theories – Fauci and Gates responsible for experimental vaccine technology to “take away ‘our’ freedoms,” vaccine interferes with human DNA, “genetic manipulation” that cannot be “undone,” etc….
I responded with, “Ag nee, man… please do not forward this to potentially gullible people ….”
The person who had forwarded it to me responded, “I thought it might be wrong, but….”
It’s the “but” that intrigues. In this day and age, why forward anything you preface with a “but”? 
***
Now This | Tensions Rise in the House During Post-Riot Debate  (6:02 mins)

Healthy planet, anyone?

Currently, “healthy planet” is an oxymoron. Back tomorrow?

Meanwhile, back at the ranch…

After much rain in the past weeks, the stream in the lower garden is overflowing. I donned my gumboots to explore and noticed water level at the top of culverts designed to drain water. 
One culvert on the other, public side of the road is completely blocked, the other almost completely block with mud and debris. 
This is yet another, ongoing maintenance issue. 
On 10 April, 2019 I’d approached the local provincial authority and presented the following letter, with photographs:
Dear NPA Representative,
A small stream runs along the edge of my property. The stream enters two culverts under the public road (soon after the tar road becomes a sand). These culverts are blocked with silt and debris and are filling in fast. I suspect that this year’s coming rainy season may completely block the culverts and cause flooding.
I respectfully request that these two culverts are cleared of silt and debris as soon as possible to prevent flooding and property damage to all properties along the stream. I’ve enclosed two photos taken in January 2019 that show the degree of silt and debris buildup. Thank you for seeing to this potential nuisance. 
Within days, a grader arrived to scoop out debris. The driver of the grader soon explained that the grader scoop couldn’t reach the debris therefore there was little he could do to alleviate the blockage. Instead, he dumped more mud and debris into the stream. Then he and his grader departed. 

On 7 January, 2021, I hand delivered another letter to same local provincial administration office, indeed the same provincial administration officer:
Dear NPA Representative,
Back in April 2019 I alerted your office that the culverts near [our property] was blocked.
A driver on a bulldozer was sent to clear the blockage. Unfortunately, the bulldozer actually further blocked the culvert with debris.
Today, January 7, 2021, our garden is flooding as the culvert can no longer cope with the amount of water coming down the stream.
Our side of the culvert is free of debris. The public side of the culvert is almost completely block. I know as I looked at it yesterday. I believe a crew of workers must work by hand to clear the culvert. It cannot be cleared by bulldozer but it must be cleared SOON.
Compare the photos below tot those I took in 2019 and you’ll see how much the situation has deteriorated.
Thanks for your prompt attention to this potential nuisance and your help in getting at least ONE OF THE CULVERTS CLEARED.
Since pictures are worth 1,000 words, I presented the following:
2 culverts on 10 April 2019.

2 culverts on 7 January 2021.

Backed up water cannot flow through culverts, 7 January 2021.

Stream overflow, 7 January 2021. 

The flooded area made worse since Eskom chopped down trees and failed to remove the debris. (For background, read, “Meanwhile, back at the ranch” post of 18 August 2020.)  
The NPA officer I talked to 7 January explained that their work crews were “still on holiday” and won’t return until at least 16 January (I hope he meant 2021, and not 2022 or 2023.) 
Mosquitos are ecstatic with excess water as it offers further opportunities to breed. (Perhaps parent mosquitos hand out maps to direct blood-thirsty young to an endless supply of American blood.)