Tuesday, May 19, 2020

Boiling frogs?

Click to enlarge.
Place a frog in boiling water and it will immediately jump out.
Place a frog in cold water that slowly heats to boiling and the frog, not registering the rise in temperature, will cook.
Moral of the story? Frogs do not react quickly to significant change.

Substitute frogs for humans and we have a metaphor for humans’ current reality.

American frog-humans
The United States has a frog in charge (no prince hidden under the froggy warts) and We, the People, don't notice the increasing temperature or how to leap out the water to save ourselves.
South African frog-humans
Telkom is South Africa’s SOE – State Owned Enterprise – for telephonic communication.
Think of Telkom as the slowly heating water and Telkom customers as frogs.

Two years ago, Telkom decided to transition all landline phones to wireless phones.
I received a breezy marketing but detail-free email from Telkom that the transition was underway.
I worried about the implications for aging customers such as mother. Tough to learn new technologies at 87-years-old, plus wireless reception in this rural neighborhood is unreliable.
I asked that Telkom email me whatever information it had about the proposed change so that I understood, 1) the overall plan, 2) the conditions of the proposed plan, 3)how it would affect my mother IF she choose to transition.
No email ever arrived.
Calls to Telkom were a nightmare of endless loops – “press x for x” – and, if I managed to talk to an actual person, I was told there were no conditions under which my mother could keep her landline.

Last January, I arrived in South Africa to find Telkom had forced my mother to transition and presented her with two D-Link wireless phones made in China. Only one of the two phones had a SIM card.
Before the start of lockdown, calls on the working phone intermittently failed and displayed, “No mobile network available.”
For the next eight weeks, my 87-year-old mother had no way to call a friend, a doctor, or an ambulance, police, or security firm if an emergency arose.
I called Telkom on my cell phone (waiting for a Telkom representative to answer is an expensive proposition in South Africa). I was told to drive to Telkom center in a large shopping mall in Pietermaritzburg. That is, drive twenty-five miles during lockdown with roadblocks and aggressive police and military patrols and wait for at least an hour in lines with little, if any, social distancing.
I complained to Telkom via email. No reply.
I wrote a Facebook complaint and got a response to “contact Telkom” but no contact info was provided.
Eventually, we traveled to Pietermaritzburg. Three times. Each time there was a small variation in why we couldn’t be helped: phone was broken, sorry, no replacement; ID info, phone number, or something else was incorrect, etc.
Finally, yesterday, Telkom presented a phone that appeared to work.
I tested it with a call from my cell phone. My mother answered! It worked!
She called the first friend on the list of friends she hoped to reach.
During that call, the phone failed.
Now, the phone displays no messages at all. The screen is black.
The frogs are cooked.

News blues…

The numbers continue to grow
Worldwide: 4,805,050 infections; 318,535 deaths
US: 1,508,600 infections; 90,360 deaths
Russia: 290,700 infections; 2,722 deaths
Brazil: 255,370 infections; 16,860 deaths
SA: 16,440 infections; 286 deaths
Map of infections per 100,000 by municipality in South Africa
***
"If it can take me down, it can take anybody down." (video clip, 7:44 mins).
Infectious disease expert Dr. Joseph Fair speaks from his hospital bed after contracting Covid-19: He shares his battle with coronavirus and warns others to take the outbreak seriously.
***
Ready for a laugh?
Sara Cooper:
Latest ad from The Lincoln Project

Whackjobbery*:

Just when one thinks Donald Trump can’t go any further in his brand of whackjobbery, he goes further!
Trump Says He Is Taking Drug That Is Deemed a Risk
Hydroxychloroquine can cause arrhythmia, but the White House physician says the “potential benefit from treatment outweighed the relative risks.” Stocks rose after positive vaccine news.
Trump wants the public to believe he’s taking regular doses of Hydroxychloroquine?
This, from a man who is notoriously self-centered and germophobic?
I don’t believe him.
He is either lying …or he understands only people with a heart can suffer arrhythmia.

Remember the day Trump swore the crowd at his inauguration was the bigly-est ever in the history of inaugural crowds? Soon after, we learned “Trump inauguration crowd photos were edited after he intervened.
His whoppers have only become whoppier.

Trump’s pal, Howard Stern, believes that Trump’s run for president was a Trump branding exercise, and that no one was more surprised at Trump’s win than Trump himself.
I concur with Stern. In the spirit of offering The Donald advice, I’ve urged Trump – telepathically – to feign a heart attack, to get out of the job of president, to retire to Mar a lago and write a whopper of a memoir.
Surely, somewhere in his “very, very large brain,” he knows he’s killing humans?
Feigning a heart attack would get him out of the White House and a job he doesn’t really want. Best of all, many Americans would consider him a hero, rather than a buffoon.
A heart attack would also prove he has a heart … and suggest he sacrificed himself out of overwhelming love of country and countrymen.

Feigning a Covid-19 infection would also get him out of the White House, but it’s not as romantic as a heart attack. It also risks mixed messaging.
He’d be a hero – to some - but an infection could raise uncomfortable questions:
  • Should people wear masks after all?
  • Should people stay home after all?
  • Should states not open? Should workers, including meatpackers, refuse to go to work?
  • Would the stock price of Hydroxychloroquine plunge instead of rise?
  • Could Democrats, worse, socialists, be right about a more robust health insurance policy?

*Whackjob: term coined by Steve Schmidt of The Lincoln Project to denote virulent Trump supporters who’ve given up common sense in favor of Trumpism.

Meanwhile, back at the ranch…

Finding the right cell phone for my mother is top of today’s agenda.
Continuing with building the pond weed path is next on the agenda.

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Sunday, May 17, 2020

Reopening America

First things first. Download the CDC’s recently published Guidelines for Reopening America (pdf).
This is intended for all Americans, whether you own a business, run a school, or want to ensure the cleanliness and safety of your home. Reopening America requires all of us to move forward together by practicing social distancing and other daily habits to reduce our risk of exposure to the virus that causes COVID-19. Reopening the country also strongly relies on public health strategies, including increased testing of people for the virus, social distancing, isolation, and keeping track of how someone infected might have infected other people.
***
A spoof or not a spoof? That is the question
The lines between reality and farce increasingly blur as The Don and his wrecking crew refuse evidence-based, scientific, medical, research-oriented data.
And, our life and times become increasingly surreal.
Donald Trump tweeted this video of a grotesquely transformed scene from the 1996 movie “Independence Day.”
Watch for faces of spell-bound Republicans – including Sen Ted Cruz (shedding tears of joy?), Marco Rubio, Donald Trump Jr. – superimposed over actors’ faces.
The Donald is the hero lip-sync’ing original movie script lines that he’d never think of actually saying.
Trump apparently viewed the manipulated clip as calling Americans back to a reopened economy amid the COVID-19 crisis. But the speech could also be interpreted as a call to Americans to fight for their lives.
The twisted version uses [original movie actor Bill] Pullman’s …voice, but images of Trump’s head have been superimposed on [Pullman’s far sleeker] body. Spectators enraptured by his speech include Sean Hannity and Tucker Carlson of Fox News, a teary-eyed Sen. Ted Cruz, Ivanka Trump, Vice President Mike Pence, and others.
In the clip, Trump, the man who couldn’t care less about actual humans, mouths,
“Mankind. That word should have new meaning for us today… We’re “fighting for our right to live, to exist.”
Indeed, with 4,716,520 million infected and 315,225 dead, Trump got something right, even if unintentionally.
We are in the fight of our lives – and getting little help from a chaotic wanna-be hero.

News blues…

Trump names Moncef Slaoui his COVID-19 vaccine czar/ “chief scientist” for Operation Warp Speed COVID-19 vaccine development. Slaoui, former pharmaceutical executive of Moderna, owns 155,000 Moderna stock options, totaling more than $10 million.
Conflict of interest, you ask? What conflict of interest?
Moderna last month announced that it received $483 million in federal funding for vaccine development, which sent its stocks up 15 percent, CNBC reported.
On Friday, when Trump introduced him in a Rose Garden press briefing, Slaoui said the president’s aim to have a vaccine by the end of the year was “credible,” though it would be “extremely challenging.”
Hmm, what if the challenge proves too challenging?
Microbiology Society’s report, “The current challenges for vaccine development” states:
…there is still a great need for new vaccines and these are emerging far more slowly than we would wish. Despite the massive expansion in understanding of immune responses to infection, research is often hindered by a lack of understanding of the immune responses required specifically for protection, or by a lack of approved adjuvants and delivery systems to induce the required responses. In addition, the financial commitment required to license new vaccines is significant, and the more lucrative markets are often not those with the greatest need.
How soon before Trump fires Slaoui for promising a vaccine and didn’t deliver? Or Trump, notoriously truth-averse, tells Americans that Slaoui never, ever said a vaccine was possible by the end of the year?
Enquiring minds ….

Whackjobbery*: it’s baaack

Journalist for News 12 Long Island, Kevin Vesey covered a pro-Trump, anti-stay-at-home protest. There,
... a protester without a mask and wearing a red MAGA hat and Trump T-shirt deliberately advanced on Vesey (who was wearing a mask).
“I think you need to back away from me,” the reporter told [the protester] on video, turning his face away.
“No, I’ve got hydroxychloroquine,” said the unidentified protester as he strode closer. “I’m fine.”
The drug, touted by Trump, has not proved to be effective against COVID-19 and can have lethal side effects.
 Kevin Vesey writes, “The level of anger directed at the media from these protesters was alarming. As always, I will tell a fair and unbiased story today.
Despite all captured on film, Donald Trump slammed the report as “fake news.”
***
Eric, son of Trump
Last Friday, I shared Eric Trump speaking “fluent Donald.” Eric is an echo chamber of “fluent Donald,” too.
Taking a page from dad’s playbook, Eric insisted in an interview with Fox News uber-Trump-groupie Jeanine Pirro that:
COVID-19 will “magically” disappear — after election day.
He indicated that the coronavirus [that has killed 315,000+ people around the globe — including nearly 90,000 Americans] is a ploy cooked up by the Democrats to stop Donald Trump from rallying his supporters at campaign events.
[Middle son maintains] Democratic presidential frontrunner Joe Biden “loves this. They think they’re taking away Donald Trump’s greatest tool, which is to go into an arena and fill it with 50,000 people every time.” [BTW, Trump has never had 50,000 people in any American arena.]
“You watch,” Eric added. “They will milk it every single day between now and November 3rd.”
“And guess what – after November 3rd, coronavirus will magically, all of the sudden, go away and disappear and everybody will be able to reopen.” He called it a “very cognizant strategy.”
Gosh, is Eric a poopagandist* who believes his own poopaganda*?
[FYI: In English “cognizant” is defined as “having knowledge or awareness.”]

*Whackjob: term coined by Steve Schmidt of The Lincoln Project to denote virulent Trump supporters who’ve given up common sense in favor of Trumpism.
*poopaganda – a quasi-genteel term for virulent bull-s**t “truthiness” masquerading as self-empowering info.
*poopagandist – one who perpetuates poopaganda and then complains that social media and “fake news” is trying to silence contrary views and/or conservative voices.
***
Recently, Ugandan President Yoweri Museveni warned against people misbehaving during the COVID-19 period.
"God has a lot of work,” he said. “[God] has the whole world to look after. He cannot just be here in Uganda looking after idiots...."
President Museveni, can you extend that warning to anti-mask, anti-stay-at-home idiots in the United States? And, to the current inhabitants of the White House and Trump Tower?

Meanwhile, back at the ranch…

Still struggling for sufficient aerobic exercise -  and trying to keep busy - during lockdown, I’ve taken up Weed Walking.
This entails laps around the garden while wearing gardening gloves (and other clothing). I walk, I notice weeds. I pluck an armful of weeds and, at the end of the lap, I place them into a wheelbarrow.
When full, I push the wheelbarrowful through the security gate, along the road, and dump contents into the burn pit.
Blackjack seedpod.
© Something over Tea 
This time of year, the predominant weeds is the almost indestructible (not easily compostable) blackjack - Bidens Pilosa. Originally native of South America, each tenacious blackjack plant “bears about eighty flower heads that can produce over 3,000 seeds in a single generation.” Designed to persist, seeds “radiate outwards and have sharp awns that hook onto passing animals and people as an efficient means of dispersal.”

In the garden, Weed  Walking keeps me ahead of blackjacks’ seeding phase.
With lockdown preventing outside garden care, weeds run amok and blackjacks are in Blackjack Heaven.
I return from the short trip to the burn pit covered in blackjack seeds. Before re-entering the garden, I pluck seeds from my hoodie, my pants, socks, shoes, gardening gloves, and hair.

Perhaps the only living thing currently more reproductively successful than blackjacks is the nightmare coronavirus.


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Humor might save us

German café tells customers
to wear pool noodles
to enforce social distancing
Click to enlarge.
The owners of a café in Berlin had fun handing out straw hats with two colorful swimming noodles attached and telling customers, "Keep the social distance."
Creative, friendly, and humane customer service lifts the spirits more than floor markings and perspex screens geared to keep people apart.

Friendly humor and comedy can save us humans from ourselves.
Animals are in on it, too, as this short photo essay indicates.

Is it inappropriate to laugh when, globally, close to 4.64 million humans have been infected with, and more than 312,000 killed by a mysterious and apparently fast-morphing virus?
Consider the intangible pluses:
Psychologists Richard Tedeschi and Lawrence Calhoun of the University of North Carolina Charlotte, maintain that while prolonged traumas can cause untold psychological damage, there is a portion of people who report psychological growth in the face of trauma.
Tedeschi and Calhoun call this “post-traumatic growth” and describe it as “positive psychological change experienced as a result of the struggle with highly challenging life circumstances.”
Post-traumatic growth, they claim, has five facets that survivors report experiencing:
  • a greater appreciation for life,
  • closer social relationships,
  • enhanced feelings of personal strength,
  • spiritual growth, and
  • the recognition of new possibilities for their lives.
The development of post-traumatic growth is theorized to lead to a sense of wisdom about the world, and, potentially, over time to greater satisfaction with life. Post-traumatic growth is seen as not only an outcome, but also as the process of coming to terms with trauma and changing your life in a more meaningful or positive direction.”
They don’t specifically mention humor as an element of a greater appreciation for life, but I will. Humor and laughing at oneself and with others fits into all the bullet points, above.
Give it a try with comedienne Sara Cooper who lets “Trump be Trump” at his campaign-rally-cum-press-conferences:
Comedian Stephen Colbert says,  “I got a thing for science. I’m into the lifestyle…by which I mean… [the lifestyle of] continuing to live!”
Me too, Stephen.
Let’s to continue to enjoy living while the living is possible, if not easy.

Anti-blues News

More to feel good about:
  • Wild white storks hatched in the UK for the first time in centuries 
    A Polish female [white] stork fraternized then mated “with a male [white stork] believed to be one of the ‘20 or so vagrant storks’ that visit the [UK] every year.” This year, for the first time “in hundreds of years …white stork chicks have been born in the wild” at the Knepp Estate in West Sussex. “Before this, the most recent babies hatched was recorded on the roof of St Giles Cathedral in Edinburgh in 1416.”
    Immigrant storks, vagrant storks, chick storks … it’s all happening out there. (I hope the Polish female has her Brexit paperwork in order. ) Life goes on…
  • A rare blue bee scientists thought might have become extinct has been rediscovered in Florida.
    The extremely rare metallic navy insect, a blue calamintha bee, previously found in only four areas "totaling just 16 square miles of pine scrub habitat at Central Florida's Lake Wales Ridge," has been discovered by a researcher.
I hope the wild white storks and rare blue bees are as excited about discovery as are the researchers.
History indicates life gets precarious for many species – including human – after “discovery.”

Meanwhile, back at the ranch…

Fifty-two days of lockdown haven’t quenched my zest for talking to all the dogs, monkeys, birds, fish, crabs, dragonflies, plants, and spiderwebs that will listen.
Nor have 52 days dulled my desire to conduct garden experiments.
Back in late April I experimented with laying a footpath made of recycled pond weed and waterlilies (see Day 34, April 29).
The success of that experiment persuaded me to extend the footpath around the pond edge. Accordingly, I donned waders yesterday, entered the pond, harvested excess pond weed, and formed a new section of path.
Only excess pond weed and invasive lilies are harvested so it’ll take time to form this path. I’m confident completion will conclude about the same time as lockdown level 4.

I was anxious about how the goldfish might feel about me messing around in their habitat.
I’m pleased to report that, at days end, three of the four showed up for their late afternoon snack.
If the fourth fish refused to join his friends because he was miffed at my intrusion, I hope the three help him understand I mean no harm.


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Friday, May 15, 2020

VOTE!

Click to enlarge.
Former US President Barack Obama is, these days, a man of few words. But the few he utters are elegantly concise.
In the face of ongoing abuse by The Donald - the “Obamagate” conspiracy theory (that alleges Obama led attempts in 2016 to sabotage Trump’s incoming administration) and Trump’s efforts to distract from criticism of his blundering coronavirus response - Obama Tweeted one word: VOTE!
(Someone please mention to White House senior adviser, son-in-law, and general-fix-it-guy Jared Kushner that neither he nor his boss can postpone the election,  not even in an emergency.  Despite Jared’s lack of familiarity with life's disappointments - or the US Constitution - shouldn’t someone mention that pesky third branch of government, the US Congress, not the prez – nor Jared –  has the power to pass a statute changing the date of the election, yet not even Congress has the power to cancel it altogether?)
***
The gift of free webinars on topics of concern during the coronavirus pandemic have helped ease the effects of lockdown.
Thanks to Daily Maverick and their sponsors for their generosity in making these available.
Seeding the Great Divide” addresses agriculture and agri-business in South Africa, Africa in general, and the possible effects of the pandemic.
Hosted by Daily Maverick’s Richard Poplak the webinar features Wandile Sihlobo, chief economist of the Agricultural Business Chamber of South Africa, and author, Finding Common Ground: Land, Equity and Agriculture.
Takeaways:
  • Food insecurity is dire in the African continent – and will grow in the coming months due to the pandemic and climate change. This may mean migrations of hungry people in many African countries.
  • South Africa is still exporting crops, but food insecurity is real for too many South Africans.
  • South Africa desperately needs a land audit to determine who owns what, and where is the land the government owns and how to benefit from it.
  • Worldwide, post Covid-19, there may be structural shifts in labor markets with more automation in agriculture. Over time, this will mean fewer people/migrants required to work.
  • Brief discussion on Expropriation without Compensation (EWC) and why Wandile does not support it.
View the growing list of Daily Maverick titles and benefit from these webinars.

Mail & Guardian also offers free webinars, most recently, “Alcohol, tobacco and substance use during COVID19."
The South African government is unique in banning the sale of alcohol and tobacco during lockdown and, essentially, forcing withdrawal on its people. This webinar unpacks the implications and effects on mental health of the banning tobacco and alcohol.
Hosted by SADAG’s Cassey Chambers, with psychiatrist Hemant Nowbath and clinical psychologist Neil Amoore.

Whackjob* no more?

“Just last month,” Brian Lee Hitchens, a former Covid-19 skeptic, said:
“I didn’t think the crisis was real. I thought it was maybe the government trying something, and it was kind of like they threw it out there to kinda distract us.”
“I’d get up in the morning and pray and trust in God for his protection, and I’d just leave it at that. There were all these masks and gloves. I thought it looks like a hysteria,” he added.
In posts on his Facebook page in early April, he had claimed, “I do not fear this virus because I know that my God is bigger than this Virus will ever be.”
Then, Hitchens and his wife contracted the virus. They were hospitalized with serious infections.
Now, he’s urging people to take coronavirus seriously. “I don’t want to see anybody go through what I went through…This wasn’t some scare tactic that anybody was using. It wasn’t some made-up thing. This is a real virus that you’ve got to take serious.” 
*Whackjob: term coined by Steve Schmidt of The Lincoln Project to denote virulent Trump supporters who’ve given up common sense in favor of Trumpism.

News blues…

The politics of food parcels in Cape Town.
Food parcels are not a sustainable, comprehensive or systemic fix, but are governed by a logic of charity. When the state distributes a small number of food parcels through its ward councillors, it mimics this logic of charity: Whether they want to or not, distributors are forced to choose those they deem to be “deserving”.

Meanwhile, back at the ranch…

Another warm autumn/fall day, another lawn mowed, grass clippings composted, and pond edging trimmed. Four healthy goldfish spied, swimming in the pond.
One happy gardener.


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