Persistence

Worldwide (Map) 
April 14, 2022 - 501,095,900 confirmed infections; 6,186,310 deaths
April 15, 2021 – 138,278,420 confirmed infections; 2,973,058 deaths

US (Map) 
April 14, 2022 - 80,483,900 confirmed infections; 986,510 deaths
April 15, 2021 – 31,421,361 confirmed infections; 564,402 deaths

SA (Coronavirus portal) 
April 14, 2022 - 3,734,000 confirmed infections; 100,116 deaths
April 15, 2021 – 1,560,000 confirmed infections; 53,500 deaths

News blues

The world surpasses half a billion known coronavirus cases, amid concerns about testing. 

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The Biden administration announced it is extending the nationwide mask requirement for airplanes and public transit for 15 days as it monitors an uptick in COVID-19 cases.
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said it was extending the order, which was set to expire on April 18, until May 3 to allow more time to study the BA.2 omicron subvariant that is now responsible for the vast majority of cases in the U.S.
I’m intending to wear masks every moment of my return trip to California anyway, but… 

Read more >> 

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The Lincoln Project: Last week in the Republican Party - April 13, 2022 (2:12 mins)

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Healthy planet, anyone?

How much greenhouse gas emissions the world emits in the coming decades is unknown. … It will depend on what people around the world will do now and in the future.

In this situation, it’s helpful to create scenarios that cover a range of possible futures. This is what the ‘Shared Socioeconomic Pathways’ (SSPs) are. SSPs are the possible futures that climate researchers in the IPCC consider in their models.
SSPs do not tell us what the world will look like. Instead, they tell us what the world could look like.

Read more and use the IPCC Climate Scenario Explorer >> 

Meanwhile, back at the ranch…

That heavy rainfall that fell on KZN? Those predictions of flooding?
They were very real yesterday. Video clips of flooding in and around Durban  (3:00 mins)
Flood aftermath: view 1 (2:17 mins) and view 2 (3:54 mins)
More than 300 dead >> 

Stormwater drainage infrastructure
Many in the business community say the damage was made worse by a failure on the part of the provincial government and the Durban municipality to maintain drainage infrastructure and prepare for eventualities such as these.
Now, the Durban Chamber of Commerce has called for the government to undertake a “serious review” of the stormwater drainage system along the road networks.
It wants the local and provincial governments of eThekwini to share their disaster management plans, including their programmes of infrastructure maintenance and development to improve drainage and traffic congestion.
“There needs to be a serious review of stormwater drainage systems related to our local and provincial road networks to ensure that rainwater can easily drain away,”

Read more >> 

Indeed, there really “needs to be a serious review of stormwater drainage systems - all infrastructure - related to our local and provincial road networks to ensure that rainwater can easily drain away.”
My “timely” - 6 YEARS – nagging the local roads department to attend to the blocked culverts paid off, albeit in miniscule fashion. 

Plenty more nagging ahead. 

Frankly, I doubt that public entity – supported by residents’ property taxes, including mine - will ever devote the people power needed to address infrastructure problems, including my small one: clearing the second totally blocked culvert and removing silt that continues to threaten to rise to levels that block water from draining.
Nevertheless, their recent small efforts helped. This, after I kvetched to local council people then to the head guy in Pietermaritzburg. His terse email to the local office to get the work done galvanized the local team. Had I complained with less dedication, this house’s downstairs would be under water.
The good news? The sheer volume of water pushing into the open culvert cleared out debris and silt. Water is flowing better than it has for some years. The overflowing stream banks, last week not visible, are still overflowing, but the water level has dropped after reaching a depth in the lower garden of more than 1 meter (3 feet).
Alas, the sump formed by the backhoe operator is now a convex hump rather than a hole, due to silt runoff from the dirt road.
I will continue kvetching to the roads department although their workload increased exponentially with the flooding across the province. I will write another email, in report format and accompanied by photos and video clips, to the head guy in Pietermaritzburg. He’ll send a terse email to the local team. The local team will show up, mill around, scrape debris here and there, depart. And the cycle will be unbroken  (4:00 mins)
And… amid the flooding, Escom – South Africa’s parastatal electricity company – is “load shedding” again. Our electricity schedule: two hours off at 8:00 pm. 

Try pumping away massive amounts of excess water without electricity.

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“Clear” weather predicted today. Alas, more rain predicted for the Easter Bunny weekend:
KZN, South Africa:
Sunrise: 6:16am
Sunset: 5:41pm

San Francisco Bay Area
Sunrise: 6:35am
Sunset: 7:43pm

The beat goes on

Funny signs from © Happy Land 

Worldwide (Map) 

March 24, 2022 - 475,487,400 confirmed infections; 6,104,200 deaths
March 25, 2021 – 124,894,200 confirmed infections; 2,746,000 deaths

US (Map) 
March 24, 2022 - 79,844,400 confirmed infections; 974,830 deaths
March 25, 2021 – 30,011,600 confirmed infections; 545,300 deaths

SA (Coronavirus portal) 
March 24, 2022 - 3,705,700 confirmed infections; 99,895 deaths
March 25, 2021 – 1,540,010, confirmed infections; 52,372 deaths

 
Note:
The US has still not reached the 1 millionth confirmed deaths rate. A feat indeed.
South Africa hovers on 100,000 confirmed deaths. 

Unfortunately, ‘confirmed’ numbers do not reflect anything near actual numbers. It is likely the world will never know numbers of confirmed infections and deaths from Covid-19.
Post from one year ago, “One down, one to go?” >> 

News blues

President Ramaphosa updated South Africans on current Covid—19 situation  and the (slight) changes to Level 1 restrictions. (15:50 mins)
Editorial note: skip to about 8:00 mins for the nitty gritty on changes.
And… the pushback…

The high force of SARS-CoV-2 infections in SA, and the 300,000 excess deaths that have been mostly attributed to Covid-19, is indicative of the failure of the government-enforced regulations to prevent significant numbers of infections in South Africa.
These regulations, such as lockdown strategies, limits on gatherings, curfews, social distancing and mask mandates, at best drew out the initial period over which roughly the same number of infections would have occurred.

Read more >> 

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The World Health Organization (WHO) says several European countries lifted their coronavirus restrictions too soon. The result? Sharp rises in infections probably linked to the new, more transmissible BA2 subvariant.
Read more >> 

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Covid-19 cases are rising again in Europe. They’re outright exploding across much of Asia. The United States, however, is in a Covid lull, having just come down from the winter’s omicron outbreak.
It’s an uneasy time. On one hand, it’s likely the worst of the pandemic is over, at least in terms of severe illness and death. But on the other hand, we have to ask: Do these upticks in the rest of the world foreshadow America’s future?

Read more >> 

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South Korea struggles as Covid-19 cases top 10 million - nearly 20% of its population - and crematoria and funeral homes are overwhelmed. 

Read more >> 

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On War:
More than 10 million displaced. Photos from Ukraine >> 

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The Lincoln Project: Kid Rock  (1:13 mins)
Josh Mandel: Ohioans or Trump?  (o:46 mins)
Last week in the Republican Party - March 23  (1:50 mins)
Bringing humor to the day with signing punny funs – oops, I mean funny puns >>  (7:50 mins)

Healthy planet, anyone?

Eyes on wildlife: photo essay >> 

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As climate breakdown takes hold across the globe, more people are likely to be affected by extreme weather, including flash floods, heatwaves, more violent storms and coastal storm surges, made worse by sea level rises.
About a third of people around the world are not now covered by early warning systems, but in Africa the problem is greater, with about six in 10 people lacking such warnings. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change had recently found  half of humanity was “in the danger zone” for climate breakdown. That so many people were still not covered by early warning systems is “unacceptable”, said António Guterres.
Read more >> 

Meanwhile, back at the ranch…

The beat goes on. Painting, repairing, and, finally, untangling the house’s electrical wiring and systems. The hodge podge of an electrical system that was certified when this house changed owners should never have passed. I assume the certification was purchased under the table, a ‘not uncommon’ transaction in South Africa. (One example of common fraud >>.)  The net haul for fraudulent certifications when transferring ownership of higher ticket items such as houses and commercial buildings must be worth the risk to fraudsters. After all, it’s taken almost ten years to untangle the mess in this house’s electrical system. And, if I were not obsessive about fixing it, it’s likely no one would have noticed – until an electrical fire ignited.

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Perfect equinox today:
KZN, South Africa:
Sunrise: 6:05am
Sunset: 6:05pm

The Opposite is true in
San Francisco Bay Area
Sunrise: 7:06am
Sunset: 7:24pm

Moving forward

Worldwide (Map) 
March 3, 2022 - 439,214,350 confirmed infections; 5,968,350 deaths
March 4, 2021 – 115,175,000 confirmed infections; 2,600,000 deaths.

US (Map) 
March 3, 2022 - 79,099,500 confirmed infections; 952,800 deaths
March 4, 2021 – 28,770,000 confirmed infections; 518,400 deaths.

SA (Coronavirus portal) 
March 3, 2022 - 3,675,700 confirmed infections; 99,430 deaths
March 4, 2021 – 1,516,265 confirmed infections; 50,366 deaths.

News blues

With the world-changing arrival of Covid-19, this blog morphed from its original topic - the effects of war on people – to the struggle, the war, if you like, on Covid-19 – and its effects on people.
Now, the world and its people, amid a proven-deadly novel coronavirus (perhaps morphing into endemic) are watching  a brutal war unfold in Ukraine.
How long before Covid-19 impacts efforts of both uninvited and invading Russians and Ukrainians?

 
The good news on a different front? Despite dire predictions of several weeks ago, the US has not seen the official count of Covid deaths pass the one million mark.

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In the US, the White House plans to unveil a wide-ranging strategy for the next phase response to the pandemic. The strategy will lay out how the nation can safely ease public health restrictions and restore some sense of normalcy and a less disruptive endemic stage of the virus. 

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Most people know someone who has stubbornly resisted catching Covid, despite everyone around them falling sick. Precisely how they do this remains a mystery, but scientists are beginning to find clues.
The hope is that identifying these mechanisms could lead to the development of drugs that not only protect people from catching Covid, but also prevent them from passing it on.

Read “Scientists seek to solve mystery of why some people do not catch Covid” >> 

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The Lincoln Project:
We were warned  (1:50 min)

Healthy planet, anyone?

In a new report from the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), researchers from 67 countries warned that warming is putting a large portion of the world’s biodiversity and ecosystems at risk of extinction, even under relatively conservative estimates. Never before has an IPCC report — considered the gold standard for climate science — revealed in such stark detail how climate change is harming nature. What ails wildlife ails us, the authors wrote. Humans are inextricably dependent on many species that are in jeopardy from rising temperatures, whether they’re animals that pollinate crops, filter rivers and streams, or feed us. In the US alone, for example, more than 150 crops depend on pollinators, including nearly all fruits and grains, and climate change puts them at risk.

Read more >> 

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African countries are being forced to spend billions of dollars a year coping with the effects of the climate crisis, which is diverting potential investment from schools and hospitals and threatens to drive countries into ever deeper poverty.
Dealing with extreme weather is costing close to 6% of GDP in Ethiopia alone, equating to a spend of more than $1 repairing climate damage for every $20 of national income, according to research by the thinktank Power Shift Africa.
The warning comes just before the major new scientific report from the global authority on climate science, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. This report, the second part of the IPCC’s comprehensive summary of global climate science, will set out the consequences of climate breakdown across the world, looking at the floods, droughts, heatwaves and storms that are affecting food systems, water supplies and infrastructure. As global temperatures have risen in recent decades, and as the impact of extreme weather has become more apparent around the world, efforts to make infrastructure and communities more resilient have largely stalled.

Read more >> 

Meanwhile, back at the ranch…

For the second time this week, our security alarm screeched in the early hours of the morning. Checking the CCTV monitor showed no incursions. What’s going on? Who knows?
Do alarm systems have self-determination or is it only our system?

 
After a month of fretting about the overgrown vegetation in the large garden pond, yesterday I donned my waders and spent an hour weeding. Last week, I’d offered a landscaper the job, but his quote was beyond my capacity to pay. (Aside: South Africans assume anyone with “dollars in her pocket” is rich and therefore can be soaked.)
I assist the crabs and other water-based life back into the water if they find themselves suddenly thrust into air-based life.
I plan to continue short forays into the pond over the next weeks to finish the job.
Wet vegetation is heavy. Nevertheless, the pile on the banks of the pond will grow day-by-day.
Not sure yet what to do with the discards. Options are 1) wheelbarrow transport it in increments to an area in front of the house and fill in dongas (holes) there (despite the huge physical effort, that's my preference) or, 2) hire someone to collect it and drive it to the local dump.
The problem with option 1: the ANC was voted out of office in favor of the DA (Democratic Alliance) and the DA’s “new” municipality is keen to fine anyone recycling vegetation by filling in dongas. The ANC didn’t care one way or another since most ANC councilors spent their time feathering their own nests rather than conduct business for the people. For now, DA councilors are trying hard to enforce regulations. We’ll see how long this lasts. In the meantime, I’ll keep pulling out pond overgrowth.
The fun never ends.

 
San Francisco Bay Area
Sunrise: 6:37am
Sunset: 6:04pm

KZN, South Africa:
Sunrise: 5:52am
Sunset: 6:29pm
Ten days to the beginning of US daylight saving time.

Running out of time

News blues

Another formal recognition that those of us living on planet earth are running out of time to turn things around and avoid cataclysm.
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change – IPCC - a group of the world’s climate experts, formed in 1988 and charged with preparing comprehensive reports on the state of our knowledge of the climate, has stated – yet again – that only drastic cuts in greenhouse gas emissions starting yesterday, might prevent us from raising global temperatures to a disastrous extent.
Their sixth and latest assessment report, 

addresses the most up-to-date physical understanding of the climate system and climate change, bringing together the latest advances in climate science, and combining multiple lines of evidence from paleoclimate, observations, process understanding, and global and regional climate simulations.

The dwindling number of people still lucky enough to live in environments that have not yet experienced extreme weather – and unlucky enough not to have to pay attention – might miss the what’s happening around the planet. The rest of us understand what’s going on but have no idea how to address it. Looking to neighbors is comforting (hopefully your neighbors will have your back when you need help). Looking to leaders and politicians is useless.
Coronavirus is simply one more, albeit devastating, symptom of the disrespect with which too many of the world’s people treat our planet.
Yet, few elected and unelected officials and politicians have a handle on the coronavirus pandemic. Some are worse than others – through choice. Florida Governor DeSantis is among the worst. As he rakes in money for being a stubborn idiot  Florida’s death toll increases by the day and DeSantis continues to scorn science and scientists in general and Dr Fauci in particular. 
Then there’s US Senator Manchin, supporter and supportee of fossil fuels industries, saying, against all evidence, “Eliminating fossil fuels won’t help fight global heating… If anything, it would be worse.” 
What to say?
What to do>?

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The Lincoln Project co-founder – and former Republican operative - Rick Wilson accuses GOP leaders of destroying America to entertain Fox News viewers, “This is how the world ends….”
Last Week in the Republican Party (latest),  (1:40 mins)

Healthy planet, anyone?

A look at the work of a favorite artist, Jason deCaires Taylor. recent in Cyprus.
Other sculptures around the world by this artist…. 

Meanwhile, back at the ranch…

Suffocatingly hot again.
I finished up painting the exterior and roof of the houseboat and erected the 10 x 10-foot pop up canopy. Alas, after pushing up a foam mattress and cushion, binoculars, water, and reading matter, I spent only an hour under the canopy shade before heat drove me back inside. But the canopy is up. When the heat dies down – after 8pm or so – I’ll head back up under the canopy and enjoy the expanded view.
I worked hard on these projects, carried them out alone, and now can enjoy the fruits of my labor. If only the extreme heat and weather would play ball…