Predictability makes the world go round. We save money for a “rainy day,” plan events, have babies – because we believe in tomorrow.
The unpredictable frightens.
But popular yammering on and on about coronavirus, what it will do, how it will do it – or not – is detrimental to mental health.
Not needing to know, not managing anxiety by making predictions, presents an opportunity to develop a mentally healthy relationship with not knowing. The challenge is training oneself to “hold”, mentally and emotionally, the unpredictable without denying its power.
Think of it as a form of meditation: clearing the “monkey mind” and simply… being, holding the moment’s challenges rather than having to “do something.”
Having said that, let’s hear what the “experts” predict.
News blues…
Experts warn that it is only a matter of time before the rest of South Africa reaches the surge in Covid-19 coronavirus cases currently being experienced in the Western Cape.Epidemiologists, as well as experts in infectious diseases and vaccinology, spoke to City Press this week . All agreed that a change in social behaviour was the only way to halt the increasing speed at which the virus was spreading.
Just this week, South Africa recorded the highest increase in new cases, with a jump of 3,267 new infections identified from the previous day. Friday also saw a large increase of 2,642 new cases from the previous day.
Numbers of confirmed cases went up another 2,112 overnight, with today’s total close to 53,000.
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We don’t really know when the novel coronavirus first began infecting people. But … it is fair to say that Sars-Cov-2 has been with us now for a full six months.What we know
At least 100 scientific teams around the world are racing to develop a vaccine.
That’s about it for the good news.
The virus has shown no sign of going away: We will be in this pandemic era for the long haul, likely a year or more. The masks, the social distancing, the fretful hand-washing, the aching withdrawal from friends and family — those steps are still the best hope of staying well, and will be for some time to come.
“This virus just may become another endemic virus in our communities, and this virus may never go away,” Dr. Mike Ryan, the executive director of the World Health Organization’s health emergencies program, warned last month. Some scientists think that the longer we live with the virus, the milder its effects will become, but that remains to be seen.
Predictions that millions of doses of a vaccine may be available by the end of this year may be too rosy. No vaccine has ever been created that fast.
The disease would be less frightening if there were a treatment that could cure it or, at least, prevent severe illness. But there is not.
Remdesivir, the eagerly awaited antiviral drug? “Modest” benefit is the highest mark experts give it.
Which brings us back to masks and social distancing, which have come to feel quite antisocial. If only we could go back to life the way it used to be.
We cannot. Not yet. There are just enough wild cards with this disease — perfectly healthy adults and children who inexplicably become very, very sick — that no one can afford to be cavalier about catching it. About 35 percent of infected people have no symptoms at all, so if they are out and about, they could unknowingly infect other people.
Enormous questions loom. Can workplaces be made safe? What about trains, subways, airplanes, school buses? How many people can work from home? When would it be safe to reopen schools? How do you get a 6-year-old with the attention span of a squirrel to socially distance?
The bottom line: Wear a mask, keep your distance. When the time comes in the fall, get a flu shot, to protect yourself from one respiratory disease you can avoid and to help keep emergency rooms and urgent care from being overwhelmed. Hope for a treatment, a cure, a vaccine. Be patient. We have to pace ourselves. If there’s such a thing as a disease marathon, this is it.
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Tasteless and tone-deaf: What is it with white guys wearing black face?For readers not familiar with the term, blackface describes a form of theatrical make-up used predominantly by non-black performers to represent a caricature of a black person.
I was tempted to write, above, “old, white guys” assuming such antics happened way back when, in the dim days of the colleges they attended as teenagers.
Alas, the young and apparently hip do it, too. Canada’s Liberal Justin Tradeau, for example, admits “he can't recall how many times he wore blackface makeup.”
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Indeed, just the opposite.
Running one of the largest Evangelical Christian colleges in the world, junior Falwell recently went steps beyond tasteless.
Falwell, an enthusiastic supporter of President Donald Trump who opposes wearing masks, posted an image [in May] of a facial covering he said he would wear. It featured a picture of a person in blackface and another in a KKK hood.Hear, hear!
Along with apologizing on Monday, Falwell deleted the May tweet. However, it was preserved in screenshots.
Nearly three dozen Black pastors, ministry leaders and former athletes ― including several former NFL players ― who graduated from Liberty sent Falwell a petition that was co-signed by thousands more on Change.org.
It read in part:
The KKK robe and hood and blackface face mask tweet may seem funny to you, but this tweet is the action of a political commentator or activist and is not fitting nor acceptable for the leader of one of the largest Evangelical Christian schools in the world. A review of your social media and statements during your presidency would lead many to believe that you care much more about politics than Jesus Christ, Evangelism, and the discipleship of students.
Meanwhile, back at the ranch…
Another repat flight announced, another repat flight not taken.Health Alert: Announcing June 14 Repatriation Flight on South African Airways – U.S. Embassy Pretoria, South Africa (June 8, 2020)[Editorial: adding increasing numbers of cases feels like a warning: “now is your moment to do-like-a rat and abandon ship”]
Location: South Africa
Event: The South African Ministry of Health has confirmed 48,285 cases of COVID-19 within its borders.
Announcing June 14 South African Airways FlightDespite the ominouos sound of that last line: "We do not have further information about when regular international commercial flights will resume" (will I get out of this country alive?), I’ve pretty much given up the notion of a repat flight to California, my family and friends, and my houseboat.
We have been notified of a special commercial repatriation flight to the United States operated by South African Airways on Sunday, June 14.
Flight information:
To confirm your participation in the June 14 South African Airways special repatriation flight, you MUST express your interest by completing this form by 11:59pm on Wednesday, June 10. Note that completing the form does not guarantee you a seat. Please complete the form even if you have filled out a previous form with the U.S. Mission to South Africa – this will confirm your interest in this specific flight only and does not track interest in future flights. SAA will sell tickets directly to passengers who have completed the above form.
- The flight will depart from Johannesburg and then Cape Town on Sunday, June 14 before proceeding to Washington Dulles International Airport.
- Passengers will be responsible for onward travel to their final destination in the United States.
- This flight is open to U.S. citizens, Lawful Permanent Residents, and visa holders who have received DHA approval to depart South Africa.
- Passengers will be responsible for finding transportation to the required assembly point, which will be communicated prior to the flight departure.
- For any questions regarding cost, baggage allowance, or other flight details, please contact SAA directly.
… If you would like to depart South Africa, we highly recommend you avail yourself of any available opportunity, even if it is not your desired flight route. We cannot guarantee frequency of special repatriation, nor can we guarantee that previously scheduled commercial flights will depart as planned. We do not have further information about when regular international commercial flights will resume.
I can’t justify departing during a pandemic and leaving my 87-year-old bed-ridden mother, seven dogs – three elderly and incontinent – two live-in domestic workers, one-to-two-day /week gardener.
Crazy, I know. I should simply vamoose…
Yet….
Instead, I will take my own advice and train myself to “hold”, mentally and emotionally, the unpredictable nature of this moment without denying its power.
Gardening, Weed Walking, walking the neighborhood, writing a blog entry every day, isn’t enough.
In real life – California - I’m a ceramic sculptor. Here, I’ve neither clay nor studio.
I can either look around for a ceramic studio to join (not holding my breath on finding one) or test cement-powder-based recipes (plenty of cement-powder here) and create a sculpting medium.
Goals are good.
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