So, long Covid

News blues

Among the nearly half a billion people who have contracted COVID around the world so far, an estimated 10 to 50 percent will experience long-term symptoms.  For four weeks to years after the initial diagnosis, the aftereffects of the virus may linger, affecting how patients go about their daily lives.
Medical experts are still trying to understand why long COVID grips some patients and not others. According to a study in the journal Cell,  a patient may be more prone to long-term symptoms if they experience one or more of the following biological factors: high viral load during the initial infection, a flood of autoantibodies, reactivation of the Epstein-Barr virus, and a history of Type 2 diabetes. These drivers aren’t immediately visible in patients from the outset, making it challenging to predict who eventually is at higher risk for long COVID.
Some studies suggest that vaccines halve the risk of adults ending up with long COVID—but other preliminary research suggests otherwise.

Read more >> 

***

The Lincoln Project:
[Conservative Political Action Conference] CPAC: Days 3 and 4 in 135 Seconds  (2:10 mins)

Healthy planet, anyone?

United Nations’ latest temperature-check on global warming provides a sweeping analysis of climate impacts and vulnerability

[The UN report] emphasizes what millions of people can already intuit from dramatic shifts in weather patterns: Ways of life that sustained generations are coming to an abrupt and chaotic end, causing great suffering that world governments’ responses so far have proven woefully inadequate to ease, much less reverse.
“We simultaneously need to reduce our greenhouse gas emissions, adapt to reduce the risks of climate change and address losses and damages that are already being experienced,” Adelle Thomas, an author of the report and researcher at the University of Bahamas, said in a call with reporters. “And we have a very limited amount of time to do this.”

Confirm your intuition about our collective futures and read “14 Takeaways From The Latest U.N. Study On Climate Change’s Deadly Toll” >> 

Case in point of “world governments’ responses so far have proven woefully inadequate to ease, much less reverse”: the US Supreme Court is weighing in on climate change. The Court appears

… poised to narrow the Environmental Protection Agency’s authority to reduce carbon pollution from power plants, a move that could further derail President Joe Biden’s ambitious plans to fight climate change that have already suffered a setback in the Senate.

Feeling hopeless about effective leadership on this critical, world-changing reality of our times? 

Yup, me too!

Meanwhile, back at the ranch…

Who is Suzie and how did she arrive on the scene in my email inbox? 

For the past year the US Democratic Party has been sending promo and fundraising emails to “Suzie.” I’m not sure who is this Suzie person, or how she came about. Moreover, the number of emails to Suzie is increasing exponentially. Where once Suzie received emails from one Democrat, today Suzie receives emails from Nancy Pelosi, Chuck Schumer, Eric Swalwell, Adam Schiff, and others. Neither I nor Suzie read these emails….

***  

Thirteen more days until California changes to daylight savings time. Unfortunately, the predicted cold spell arrived, but none of the predicted rain. Some snow in the Sierras….
San Francisco Bay Area
Sunrise: 6:40am
Sunset: 6:02pm

Lots of rain as autumn/fall marches along in South Africa:
KZN, South Africa:
Sunrise: 5:50am
Sunset: 6:32pm

Het Bouhe

Police surround a protester holding a sign painted with "No to war!" and an image of the Ukrainian flag in St. Petersburg.
Photo: Kommersant Photo Agency/REX/Shutterstock.

See more anti-warRussian protesters <br>

News blues…

South Africa’s National Coronavirus Command Council (NCCC) and other stakeholders are working on “alternative measures to exit the state of disaster… our health regulations, making sure that we have enough protection measures through the National Health Act and its regulations to replace the Disaster Management Act.”
This, to formulate new regulations to replace the national state of disaster and to ensure continued management of Covid-19.

***

Under its revised guidance on when Americans should consider wearing masks to protect themselves against Covid-19, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention  lays out a system that designates individual counties as being at either low, medium, or high risk from Covid-19. Roughly 62.6% of counties — home to 71.7% of Americans — fall into the low- and medium-risk categories.
Under the new guidance, roughly 70% of the U.S. population can now contemplate removing their masks.
The CDC now focuses on minimizing severe disease and ensuring that hospitals are able to cope with Covid cases while still delivering standard care.
Read more >> 

***

The Lincoln Project:
[Conservative Political Action Conference] CPAC Day 1 in 105 Seconds  (1:50 mins)
CPAC: Day 2  (1:50 mins)
Primetime propaganda [2]  (0:55 mins)

Mother Russia  (1:24 mins)

Meanwhile, back at the ranch…

Painting, painting, painting. How come painting – walls, not arty pictures – is such hard work? I spent more than a day prepping the walls, then more time prepping the materials: step ladder, drop cloths, paint gear… then finally started painting. Miraculously I didn’t spill paint on anything other than my hands, feet, overalls, and the drop cloth.
Naturally, the dog insisted on sleeping on its doggie bed in the middle of the room I was painting. Paint didn’t spill on her either. The other unexpected surprise? A handyman who has become a friend dropped by on the spur of the moment, so I put aside the painting for the duration of his visit. The paint didn’t dry out. Paint didn’t coagulate on brushes and roller. Afterwards, I returned to painting and finished the job. 
A Sunday well spent.

Covid-19. Passé?

News blues…

Move over, Covid-19! You’re passé. You’re yesterday’s news. We, the people have moved on… to war!
What’s amazing is Russians are protesting Putin’s invasion of Ukraine >> photo essay of anti-war protests across Russia 
But before we leave Covid-19 in the dust, author Steven Taylor, professor and clinical psychologist at the University of British Columbia, and author of The Psychology of Pandemics, reminds us that the pandemic changed everything about our lives: how we worked, socialised, travelled. Dealing with so many changes at once was a mental challenge for us all. As Covid-19 fizzles out, and things go back to “normal”, some of these pressures will ease as life becomes more recognisable. But the end of a pandemic will require an adjustment, just as the beginning did.
We are not entering the same “normal” that we left – and we are not the same people we were then.
Read his article, “I wrote the book on pandemic psychology. Post-Covid will take some getting used to” >> 

***

The Lincoln Project:
Primetime propaganda (0:58 mins)
Old man  (0:14 mins)
Today's Republican Party  (0:46 mins)

Healthy planet, anyone?

World leaders will come together online and in Nairobi, Kenya, next week, in what is described as a “critical moment” in progress towards the first ever global treaty to combat plastic waste. …
[According to Inger Andersen, director of the UN Environment Programme] an agreement at the UN environment assembly could be the most important multilateral pact since the Paris climate accord in 2015.
Public disgust and impatience over the growing mountain of plastic waste has led to an unprecedented “degree of focus” that could see member states agreeing a blueprint for a legally binding treaty to control plastics “from source to sea”, she said. “Public impatience is something that is very powerful. … The public has had enough. We are all dependent on plastic, but they obviously want to see some resolution of this issue.”

Hear! Hear! 

Read “Plastic summit could be most important green deal since Paris accords, says UN” >> 

Meanwhile, back at the ranch…

The mysteries of old houses include expecting that after removing old and ugly carpet, the floor below will be bare concrete that can be stained to produce an unusual, useful, and attractive “look.”
Alas, removing carpet in this old house disclosed one third of the floor space devoted to two large, thick slabs of plywood. The screws in each corner of both slabs are already stripped so I cannot easily remove them to discover what’s underneath the wood. The implication of this plywood is that there’s some sort of space below. The oddity? Far as I can tell, there is no more house under it, only dirt.
Have I stumbled upon a long-lost crypt? A secret stash of rhino horns? Piles of Kruger Rands?
Enquiring minds wanna know….
The good news? After removing the carpet and foam backing, I placed them on the street side of the security gate – hoping someone passing by would adopt them and carry them home. (Such “donations” have proven popular in the past.) However, I assumed a 50/50 chance since carpet and foam is bulky and requires a truck or bakkie to carry them away.
An hour after setting out the goods, I checked the status. All had disappeared.
Yay! Nothing from this house went into landfill today.

In decline?

Worldwide (Stats ) 
February 24, 2022 - 429,508,650 confirmed infections; 5,917,000 deaths
February 25, 2021 - 112,534,400 confirmed infections; 2,497,100 deaths
Vaccination data & map >>

US (Map) 
February 24, 2022 - 78,731,000 confirmed infections; 942,000 deaths
February 25, 2021 - 28,335,000 confirmed infections; 505,850 deaths

SA (Coronavirus portal) 
February 24, 2022 - 3,662.100 confirmed infections; 98,868 deaths
February 25, 2021 - 1,507,450 confirmed infections; 49,525 deaths

News blues…

Despite predictions to the contrary, the US has not yet reached the 1 million and more dead from Covid-19. That good news indicates Omicron has been less fatal than Delta, although “nursing homes and other long term care facilities have lost a record number of residents and staff to COVID-19…

[Such numbers represent] about a quarter of all COVID deaths  in [the US].
Now, the industry is suffering through a historic staffing shortage, further exacerbated by omicron. Workers have quit in record numbers since the pandemic started. And during the worst of omicron many frontline staff had to stay home because of breakthrough infections.

Read or listen to “The pandemic pummeled long-term care” >> 

According to a recent statement from WHO,

The Omicron variant of concern is currently the dominant variant circulating globally, accounting for nearly all sequences reported to GISAID. Omicron is made up of several sublineages, each of them being monitored by WHO and partners. Of them, the most common ones are BA.1, BA.1.1 (or Nextstrain clade 21K) and BA.2 (or Nextstrain clade 21L). At a global level, the proportion of reported sequences designated BA.2 has been increasing relative to BA.1 in recent weeks, however the global circulation of all variants is reportedly declining.

Read WHO’s full statement on omicron sublineage BA.2 >>

Doh! Ivermectin fails another COVID trial as study links use to GOP politics >> 

***

The Lincoln Project:
Weakness  (1:24 mins)
Four decades living in the US indicated being a “commie” was about the worst kind of American. Not so anymore. Thanks to Trump, “Commies”, Putin, et al are “good”. Right wing Americans now beat the drums against “socialists”, the “woke”, and supporters of Black Lives Matter.
The Donald sews mayhem:
Trump loyalties  (1:30 mins)
And, where The Donald goes there goes Fox News: Fox loves Putin  (0:55 mins)
Last Week in the Republican Party - February 22, 2022  (2:20 mins)

Healthy planet, anyone?

As Midlands KZN copes with almost too much rain, California and the American West considers desalination as a cure to its lack-of-water woes >> 
According to GRID – Arendal,  the Number of wildfires will rise by 50% by 2100 and, surprise, governments are ill-prepared >> The organization,

calls on governments to adopt a new ‘Fire Ready Formula’, with two-thirds of spending devoted to planning, prevention, preparedness, and recovery, with one third left for response. Currently, direct responses to wildfires typically receive over half of related expenditures, while planning receives less than one per cent. To prevent fires, authors call for a combination of data and science-based monitoring systems with indigenous knowledge and for a stronger regional and international cooperation.

Meanwhile, back at the ranch…

Almost finished recycling rusty patio furniture. It looks “good enough”; happily, I paid less than ZAR 300 (equivalent to about 20 Yankee Dollas) – plus sweat equity – to accomplish this feat. I placed a cushion on one of the refurbished chairs and thoroughly enjoy the peace, the cool late afternoon breeze, and the sounds of assorted birds.
Nothing I do in the DIY department is perfect, but I’m replete with good intentions and try my best. Many can do a more professional, more skilled job, but I wager our joyous sense of accomplishment is similar.

***

The area of KZN I occupy – semi-rural/sub-urban - is replete with social media. Today’s social media posted a warning from a local resident:

Take note: people stage minor accidents then demand compensation.
Between 9:30 and 9:45 my wife and I travelled in a westerly direction [and] suddenly heard a dull thud on the left side of my vehicle
I asked my wife, “What that was?”
We saw two males approaching the vehicle, at a fast pace. … I turned left at the robot and stopped outside the hospital.
The accomplice, in a very friendly manner, inquired whether my vehicle was damaged.
I replied, NO.
The second male was holding his right arm which he said was very sore.
I accompanied him to the clinic at the local hospital where the doctor suggested an X ray examination.
The X ray was returned, and the doctor found no fractures.
The patient received medication from the clinic. I signed and paid for doctor including the X ray, an amount of R850.
The sister in charge at casualty warned me that these type of accidents occur frequently. She said that [people] deliberately stage minor accidents and then demand money. She advised me to accompany the patient to the local police station where we’d both sign an affidavit agreeing that his injury was appropriately attended and that he had no further financial claim.
He, however, refused to sign this affidavit. He argued furiously with the police and was absolutely determined to be remunerated for the accident, regardless of the medical findings and expense incurred.
I reported the accident to the Howick police and signed an affidavit.

One more negative thing to look out for while in the world. 

Humans. 

Hard to live with ‘em, hard to live without ‘em….

Done and dusted?

News blues

South Africa’s President Ramaphosa has criticized the EU for protecting vaccine profits over people. He also concedes that progress has been made towards lifting COVID-19 vaccine patent rights (9:30 mins)
California’s Governor Newsome describes the “smarter plan” for post-pandemic Covid in that state  (first 4 mins of 9:16 mins)
Six African countries – including South Africa - to begin making mRNA vaccines as part of WHO scheme 
R200 voucher incentive resulted in 15% increase in vaccinations for people over 50 >> 

***

Meanwhile, as many countries ease Covid restrictions, UK’s Boris Johnson told lawmakers in the House of Commons that the country was “moving from government restrictions to personal responsibility” as part of a plan for treating COVID-19 like other transmissible illnesses such as flu.
“Today is not the day we can declare victory over COVID, because this virus is not going away,” 
Hmmm, “personal responsibility”. Let’s hope Boris ain’t jumping the gun….
Then again, Covid’s toll of death and destruction is eclipsed by Putin’s threat of upcoming of death and destruction.
What a crazy world!

Healthy planet, anyone?

According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), sea levels around the United States will rise up to a foot over the next 30 years due to climate change. That’s as much as they have risen in the previous century.
NOAA’s study  forecasts sea levels rises along the U.S. shoreline of 10-12 inches (25-30cm) on average by 2050.
The good news? 

NOAA predicts levels will tend to be higher along the Atlantic and Gulf shores, because of greater land subsidence there, than along the Pacific coasts.
Ten to 12 inches will impact the beach and park where I live in California. It might be manageable although heavy rainfall could enter the slightly-below-ground-level garage upon which my condo complex is built.
Better hold on to my Sea Eagle inflatable: by 2050 I’ll be too old to dog paddle.

Meanwhile, back at the ranch…

According to my StepsApp, I reached my goal (6,000 recorded steps per day) ZERO times last week. That app is accurate: I do not carry my cell phone – with the StepsApp – in my pocket when I’m working outside. But working outside produces way more exercise than 7,000 steps per day.
As do all days so far, yesterday’s work began with the pool: backwashing the filter, cleaning filter baskets, re-setting the system. 

Then, up on the carport roof cleaning gutters that haven’t been cleaned in years. All sorts of perfect composting material fermenting in those gutters, but much as I love compost and composting, saving gutter debris for compost was just a bridge too far, even for a compost-obsessive.
The irony of me, a white woman, doing such tough physical labor? White South African womandom would take credit for the labor but would not actually do the physical part. Rather, a gardener or handyman would do it overseen by the WSAW and presented as her labor. Gods know, it is tough work managing laborers…. 

The American parallel? A hands-off boss or office manager taking credit for excellent work done by lower-level employees – without mentioning who performed the actual labor.
I have no gardener or handyman, only me …gifted with a pair of strong hands, a strong back, and way too much impatience and determination. Moreover, I’m a cheapskate. Why pay someone to do work I can do? There will come a time – soon, I hope – when such tasks will be too much for me. 

Meanwhile, I face a perfect storm: no trusty gardener, no trusty handyman, dwindling funds, and an enormous pile of repetitive chores.
Move over, Sisyphus.
For the many jobs I’m incapable of doing – including re-roofing a section of leaky patio – I ask around for worker references from friends, acquaintances, and other handy-people. The biggest obstacle? Despite saying they’ll show up to review a job and give a quote, more than 50 percent of the time, the handy-person never shows up! This is a feature of life in South Africa. Lots of talk and not much action.
This is frustrating for an American-punctuality-trained South African. In the US, time is money. In South Africa? Time is fluid.

***

Today? I recycle patio furniture I’d planned to toss out. A second look persuaded me a good cleaning, scraping off rust, and repainting with anti-corrosive paint would squeeze out another few years of use. Moreover, besides offering me latitude to paint creatively – adding additional color and design - I love the feeling of momentarily beating the system of rampant consumerism – and saving hard-earned dough.

***

Autumn/fall marches toward South Africa:
KZN, South Africa:
Sunrise: 5:45am
Sunset: 6:39pm
In less than one month, daylight saving time begins in US states:
San Francisco Bay Area
Sunrise: 6:49am
Sunset: 5:55pm

More of the same

News blues

One hundred weeks and 700 days of posts tracking Covid-19. This count may not be statistically accurate as I flitted from southern to northern to southern hemispheres during this pandemic. It’s a pretty good approximation of the trajectory of the pandemic, from discovery of the virus, to the initial devastation it wrought, to the creation and manufacture of vaccines, to where we are today. On this note, a report finds that, for all its flaws, the Covid-19 vaccination rollout has been a historic win for humanity.>> 
Surrounded as I am by vax skeptics and misinformation, I’m totally grateful for science and scientists. (Yes, I understand science/scientists – and politicians, marketing experts, supporters of wars, even family members, etc. – can – and do - manipulate data to derive desired results. That’s life in the modern world. And I remain a fan of Covid vaccine.
On that note, here’s a guide to coronavirus and Covid-19 >> 

***

MeidasTouch 

Trump is guilty  (1:10 mins)

Healthy planet, anyone?

February 15, the White House unveiled a slew of policies aimed at overhauling the U.S. industrial sector  in order to reduce its planet-warming carbon pollution. Many of the policies have bipartisan backing—they were authorized in last year’s infrastructure bill.  These policies are a big deal because they could help solve one of decarbonization’s thorniest problems: how to make steel, concrete, chemicals, and other major industrial products in a zero-carbon way. These products typically rely on fossil fuels to generate intense heat or provide a raw-material input, which is part of why the industrial sector is responsible for more than 20 percent of global emissions.
However crucial these policies are for the planet, they are arguably even more important as a matter of political economy. They signal a profound and bipartisan change in how the federal government presides over the economy

Read “ The White House Is Going After One of Climate Change’s Thorniest Problems” >>

Meanwhile, back at the ranch…

An ivermectin-skeptic, I found myself in a conversation with two fully-convinced-ivermectin-takers. One, a young funeral director, swallows ivermectin each week to ward off a second bout of Covid. (His first dose of Covid was life-threatening.) The other man is simply a full-on believer, just because…. In such conversations, I simply ask the question, “Why take an anti-bacterial medication for a viral disease?” and leave it at that. I’m curious about the responses, but I’m uninterested in going down the ivermectin rabbit hole, particularly as South Africa is chock-a-block with ivermectin swallowers. Two days after that conversation, another article stating, again, that according to the study published in the journal JAMA Internal Medicine, the antiparasitic drug ivermectin doesn't prevent severe disease from Covid-19 any more effectively than symptom management and close observation by medical professionals. >> 
I thought, very briefly, of sending the study’s link to the ivermectin fans. But why bother? Belief in ivermectin falls, in my opinion, into the same ideology as Trump is the Best Human President in the World. I ain’t gonna change that mindset with logic or data. I’d rather shift dirt/soil uphill with a spade.
One more comment on South Africa’s conspiracy theorists. Recently, I enjoyed meeting up with two friends at a local coffee shop. The male of the couple has been vaccinated and always wears his mask. My friend, his wife, is a vax skeptic who dons her mask amid much muttering about mask-uselessness. During out conversation, she also informed me that “studies prove” many, many more Covid deaths have occurred amongst the vaccinated than the unvaccinated.
Hmmmm
My sheer incredulity that I’m actually hearing such drivel generally renders me speechless. The best response I can come up with in the moment is, “That’s not at all true and I don’t believe it.” Then I try to change the subject. The problem with my response? Conspiracy theorists expect this response. It is, after all, exactly their response to their facts: always suspect the “mainstream” narrative: “they” are just trying to “'take over'….”
Indeed, there are times when “the public” is offered convenient – and money saving - bundles of BS. I’ve not spent more than a decade on a community board dealing with the US military’s so called “clean-up” of toxic waste generated during it sojourn in my California town not to understand this. 

Discernment is key: work toward understanding with discernment.
Moreover, wearing masks and accepting vaccine is about more than one individual. It’s about our entire community of humans the world over. Thinking beyond one’s immediate nose and self-interest is a requirement for living in today’s world.

***

Last night was the first time in three weeks that I slept for more than seven hours. And I fell asleep as a crashing thunderstorm raged overhead. I chalk up this good sleep to good old fashioned hard physical labor.
Between regular bouts clearing the pool filter and repositioning the filter’s “creepy, yesterday’s labor included trimming overgrown hedges and plants with manual hedge clippers and raking the debris into piles for easy removal to the dump. I also spaded the garden’s dirt/soil level. This property slopes downhill and heavy rainfall shifts loose dirt/silt downhill. If I want a decent garden – and I do – then I must replace dirt/soil. A spade does the job, albeit a job tough on the human body. (Try pushing an old wheelbarrow packed with dirt uphill.) I unlocked old outside cabinets, cleared them of years-old debris, and piled that up for later removal to the dump. Serendipitously, I also rescued two Pool Kits that will allow me to test pool water for PH and acidity levels.
Today, Sunday? After last night’s thunderstorm, the day is clear, clean, and bright. And hot.
On today’s agenda? More of the same hard physical labor.
A mechanical hedge clipper sure sounds nice. Unfortunately, it’s a luxury I’m not sure I can afford. Then again, perhaps it is a luxury I cannot not afford. The questions: How resilient is my human body? Is my health and welfare not worth one stinky mechanical hedge clipper?
Hmmm.

***

KZN, South Africa:
Sunrise: 5:44am
Sunset: 6:41pm

San Francisco Bay Area
Sunrise: 6:52am
Sunset: 5:53pm

100 Weeks

News blues

One hundred weeks of Covid-19 and some level of Lockdown in South Africa. I arrived here in January 2020, a month or two after the novel coronavirus sought refuge in the first of its human hosts. I began these pandemic-centric blog posts on April 9, 2020 (see the complete list of posts) and, 100 weeks later, I’m still at it. Fully vaxed, I don’t take ivermectin, and, so far, haven’t contracted Covid. Happy Days!
One hundred weeks later:
Coronavirus restrictions ease across Europe despite high case rates 
…and…
As California prepares to live with Covid, laying out plan to fight future surges, it aims to pick up rising viral transmission early and sequence new variants to determine whether vaccines and therapeutics are still effective. 
The millions of people stuck in pandemic limbo: what does society owe immunocompromised people? 

***

The Lincoln Project:
Uh oh, Donald  (1:04 mins)

Healthy planet, anyone?

“How better animal welfare could stop millions of people dying,” by Damian Carrington for Down to Earth  presented here as it encapsulates the essential issue of our time: how to live cooperatively and simply on our planet to ensure survival for all living creatures.

Spanish flu, bird flu, Marburg virus, Lassa fever, Ebola, HIV, Nipah, West Nile, Sars, Chikungunya, Zika and Covid-19. That is just a partial history of the viruses that have spilled over from animals to humans in the last century. The outbreaks are coming more frequently, as humanity’s growing population drives its destructive path further into wild areas. An average of 3 million people a year die from these zoonotic diseases.
But the world’s focus on preventing the next pandemic has so far been confined to boosting the detection of new diseases after they have infected humans and speeding the development and rollout of vaccines. That is of course necessary, but it is not sufficient.
Since the Covid-19 outbreak, there have been repeated warnings that action to stop spillovers at source is also vital, and extremely cost-effective. That means ending the destruction of forests that brings people and wildlife into contact, and a crackdown on the wildlife trade. Inaction has left the world playing an “ill-fated game of Russian roulette with pathogens”, experts say, and protecting nature is vital to escape an “era of pandemics”.
But tacking spillover is not mentioned in reports and strategies from the Global Preparedness Monitoring Board (GPMB), a joint initiative of the World Bank and the World Health Organization, or from a G20 high-level panel on financing for pandemic preparedness.
A new report from experts at the International Union for Conservation of Nature provides another angle on the issue. While all zoonotic diseases ultimately come from wildlife, the IUCN report says few spillover into people directly. More commonly the diseases transfer via livestock, or animals like rats that thrive in places despoiled by humans.
So culling wildlife could not be justified, and could perversely make viruses spread more rapidly and animals flee. The IUCN report also says its examination of the scientific evidence suggests that tougher rules, or a ban, on the trade in wildlife would not have much impact on preventing future epidemics. Such moves could also harm the livelihoods of indigenous peoples and local communities, unless alternative ways to make a living are provided.
But the IUCN report comes to the same broad conclusion as the previous reports: preventing increasing rates of outbreaks is feasible, especially if “primordial prevention issues, rather than just preparedness and rapid response” are addressed. “The challenge rests in better understanding how our domesticated animals and human-dominated landscapes create opportunities for the emergence of infectious diseases,” says Jon Paul Rodríguez, chair of the IUCN Species Survival Commission.
So what is the livestock industry doing to cut pandemic risk? Not nearly enough, according to another new report, which rates two-thirds of 60 major meat, dairy and fish companies as “high risk”. The analysis is based on seven, criteria including welfare conditions for both animals and workers, waste management and deforestation.
“Intensive farming environments, housing most of the 70 billion farm animals reared every year, are a known breeding ground for disease,” says Jeremy Coller, chair of the FAIRR Initiative, which produced the report and is backed by investors managing $48 trillion of assets.
“Aggravating factors like low genetic diversity, cramped enclosures and poor conditions for workers that do not offer adequate sick pay amplify [the pandemic] risk many times over,” he said. “It’s time for meat companies and policymakers to learn from Covid-19 and to invest in preventing the next pandemic.”
Another take on pandemic risk is on its way from Bill Gates in his new book, How to Prevent the Next Pandemic. “The plan is three elements,” he says. “First is to constantly improve health systems. The second is to build a global pathogen surveillance capacity so that no matter which country it shows up in, we can apply resources and understand what’s going on very quickly. And finally, innovation across diagnostics, therapeutics, and vaccines that will get us far better tools far quicker than we did this time.”
“I think it’s exciting that we have this opportunity to use our best ideas to stop pandemics for good,” Gates concludes. But there’s no mention of what is to my mind the very best idea of all – trying to stop pandemics at the source. The same was already true of reports from the Global Preparedness Monitoring Board (GPMB), a joint initiative of the World Bank and the World Health Organization, and from a G20 high-level panel on financing for pandemic preparedness.
Tackling the root of the issue by protecting forests and wildlife would cost just a tiny fraction of the terrible losses caused by pandemics, and such action is of course already vital for ending both the climate and biodiversity emergencies. “In the midst of every crisis, lies great opportunity,” said Albert Einstein. But the world has yet to grasp the opportunity presented by Covid-19.

Meanwhile, back at the ranch…

With South Africa’s official unemployment rate at 35 percent and the actual rate much higher,  people scramble to afford basic food and housing. One young local man apples maximum creativity to earn a living: he sweeps debris back into potholes.
I’d noticed this young man standing near a four-way intersection offering what I assumed was a bunch of herbs to sell. He’s manned his post everyday over the past 10 days holding the same vegetation. Yesterday, I saw him using the flora to sweep small, loose stones back into a nearby pothole and tidy up loose debris.
I assume he’s working for tips although it has taken me 10 days to figure it out. Perhaps he needs signage: Sweeping for Rands?
It is heartbreaking to see so many people - young and old - so desperate.