Sunday, February 14, 2021

Admiration abounds

I’m one of those artists  sorely lacking in mathematical skills and somewhat lacking in ability to retain scientific facts.
I accept my mathematical realities.
Attempts at improving my basic scientific knowledge always culminates in my profound admiration for scientists and science.
Science is not a panacea for all of life’s ills but it adds a compelling dimension. 

News blues…

The virus is evolving, but the antibodies that fight it can change, too.
To locate some of the world’s most superpowered cells, look no further than the human immune system. The mission of these hometown heroes is threefold: Memorize the features of dangerous microbes that breach the body’s barriers. Launch an attack to bring them to heel. Then squirrel away intel to quash future assaults.
…The immune system is comprehensive, capable of dueling with just about every microbe it meets. It’s archival, ace at memorizing the details of its victories and defeats. It might be complicated, but it is also, simply put, cool as hell.
Read “The Body Is Far From Helpless Against Coronavirus Variants” >> 

Side effects from the second Covid-19 vaccine are just a sign that protection is kicking in as it should.
When hit with the second injection, the immune system recognizes the onslaught, and starts to take it even more seriously. The body’s encore act, uncomfortable though it might be, is evidence that the immune system is solidifying its defenses against the virus.
“By the second vaccine, it’s already amped up and ready to go,” said Jasmine Marcelin, an infectious-disease physician at the University of Nebraska Medical Center.
Fortunately, side effects resolve quickly, whereas COVID-19 can bring on debilitating, months-long symptoms and has killed more than 2 million people.
Read “The Second COVID-19 Shot Is a Rude Reawakening for Immune Cells” 

FYI: The Atlantic Monthly, usually subscription based, offers free coronavirus coverage to any and all readers. Catch up on solid investigation and writing >> 
***
WHO Wuhan mission finds possible signs of wider original outbreak in 2019. 
Investigators from the World Health Organization (WHO) looking into the origins of coronavirus in China have discovered signs the outbreak was much wider in Wuhan in December 2019 than previously thought, and are urgently seeking access to hundreds of thousands of blood samples from the city that China has not so far let them examine.
The lead investigator for the WHO mission, Peter Ben Embarek, told CNN in a wide-ranging interview that the mission had found several signs of the more wide-ranging 2019 spread, including establishing for the first time there were over a dozen strains of the virus in Wuhan already in December. The team also had a chance to speak to the first patient Chinese officials said had been infected, an office worker in his 40s, with no travel history of note, reported infected on December 8.
***
Profanity alert! Yes, Corey Ryan Forrester uses “hardcore” language to express his frustrated opinion  but listen to him anyway. And, if, essentially, you agree with him, speak up and speak out in your state, town, and neighborhood (minus the profanity)….
 
Another way of thinking about at it (and an opportunity to examine your own assumptions and actions): “History Will Judge the Complicit. Why have Republican leaders abandoned their principles in support of an immoral and dangerous president?” 

Healthy planet, anyone?

Around the world, coastal waters are steadily growing darker. This darkening—a change in the water’s color and clarity—has the potential to cause huge problems for oceans and their inhabitants.
“It’s affecting the quality of the sea we know,” says Oliver Zielinski, who runs the Coastal Ocean Darkening project  at the University of Oldenburg in Germany. These “changes in the physics will lead to biological changes,” he adds.
Some of the causes behind ocean darkening are well understood: Fertilizer might enter the water and cause an algal bloom, or boats might stir up light-blocking silt. But other causes are murkier. During heavy rains, for instance, organic matter—primarily from decaying plants and loose soil—can enter oceans as a brown, light-blocking slurry. This process is well documented in rivers and lakes, but has largely been overlooked in coastal areas.
Read “Coastal Darkening Is a Hidden Environmental Nuisance"  >> 

Meanwhile, back at the ranch…

We’re heading towards one year of lockdown in South Africa. Initially, I’d planned to create a day-by-day record how South Africans in my small part of the country acted and reacted to the unfolding pandemic. I’d overlooked the reality: that I’d have to expose myself to contracting the virus to do that. Instead, I’ve focused on the obstacles I face daily in creating a safer environment for my 87-year-old mother under pandemic conditions. Today, at Lockdown Level 2, South Africans wear masks and sanitize on entering stores, but it appears much else is business as usual.
Biz as usual can’t be true for people having to work or to find work.
The range of experiences in that category - “people having to work or find work” - however, is enormous.
I had a small view of that yesterday when I young man arrived at the security gate. He carried what South Africans call a “bush cutter” (Americans call it a “weed whacker”).
Our gardener has been too weak, post illness, to cull the over-human-height weeds outside the house. This, while we’re trying to sell my mother’s house, gives a bad first impression: no “curb appeal.”
I negotiated with the bush cutter-wielding man through the gate and we agreed upon a price and the extent of work.
I also asked if he had water to drink. He said he had nothing – to drink or to eat.
I asked our domestic worker to make him a serving of sandwiches and a drink.
She went a step further and offered him lunch, too. I’d assumed the cutting wouldn’t require him staying around until lunch time but … his choice.
After finishing the cutting and his lunch, he set off to seek further work.
I learned later that he’d travelled more than 15 kilometers, from a more upscale neighborhood to seek work here. How did he travel? Who knows? Taxi? Bus? Ride with a friend?
Life for most young South Africans is hard.
Imagine having to stalk various neighborhood carrying a bush cutter– and fuel to run it - and offer your services through well-defended security gates. “Hit or miss” trivializes a day-to-day reality and doesn’t begin to cover the stress of such a life.
Moreover, under “normal” conditions, that is, our gardener being healthy, I’d have rebuffed this young man’s offer of service.
It’s sobering to think of him trying his best, day after day after day, to make enough money to eat, seek work, and fuel his bush cutter.
***
Hoping to find her less tired, I visited my mother during the 3pm – 4pm visitor slot. Alas, she was just as tired, if not more so, during that time. I asked if she’d like me to bring photos of the good old days: Bobby the dog, Jacko the pet monkey, Teaser, Squibs, Gypsy, Robin, Janet the horses…. She nodded.
As has been said before by people far wiser than I: Old age is not for the squeamish.


Saturday, February 13, 2021

Foregone conclusion

News blues…

As predicted, the second impeachment of Donald J Trump limped to its sordid conclusion with an overall win for Republican Party White Power and White Rule.
Goodbye Great American Experiment in Democracy.
Senate Republicans – Profiles in Sycophancy
© David Horsey, 2021 Tribune Content Agency
© Joel Pett, 2021 Tribune Content Agency 

(c) Disney Co


Meanwhile, back at the ranch…

The potential buyer of the house signed the papers but asked that he have until Monday – tomorrow – to confirm the purchase. He’s 95 percent convinced it’s the right house for his soon-to-marry son. The configuration of upstairs bedrooms, however, gives him pause. I agree with that assessment. But, oh, how I pray he’ll go for the buy!
Visited my mom at the 10am visitors’ hour yesterday. She was asleep. Went for a quick swim and, when I returned, she was still asleep. Today, I’ll visit her at the 3pm visitors’ hour. Perhaps that’ll ensure time with her.




Friday, February 12, 2021

Contingencies

© Steve Breen Copyright 2021 Creators Syndicate

The US continues down the Kafkaesque rabbit role of impeachment. Isn’t it a foregone conclusion that Republicans will not vote to impeach? They will always come up with some twisting of reality to conclude whatever it takes to not acknowledge wrongdoing…. Sad.

News blues…

The first batch of 80,000 Johnson & Johnson vaccination doses will arrive in South Africa next week. A further 500,000 J&J vaccines arriving in the next month. In total, SA has secured 9 million doses of the J&J vaccine. (Hmmm, the total population is 58.5 million….)
President Ramaphosa said that an “unrelenting and comprehensive response” to overcome the coronavirus was fundamental to the nation’s recovery and that all provinces had rollout plans in place as the first vaccines come through.
“This year, we must do everything in our means to contain and overcome this pandemic. This means intensifying our prevention efforts and strengthening our health system. … It also means that we must undertake a huge vaccination programme to save lives and dramatically reduce infections across the population. ”
***
The devil is in the details.
The US federal government this week finalized the purchase of 100 million additional doses of vaccine each from Moderna and Pfizer, whose Covid-19 vaccines are the only ones so far authorized for U.S. use.
I thought more vaccine sooner would be a no-brainer: “just do it!”
Alas, it’s not that straight forward.
Pfizer… pledged 300 million shots, discovered that its vials contained enough vaccine for six doses instead of the planned five, sought, and won, FDA authorization for health care providers to use those extra doses.
[But] Pfizer later reduced the number of vials it planned to deliver to the United States because of the FDA's ruling, contingent on the availability of the ultra-efficient syringes needed to extract a sixth dose.
“Ultra-efficient syringes”? Hmmm…
***
The Lincoln Project: my favorite co-founder of The Lincoln Project and former Republican just resigned from the Project’s board.
Schmidt, a longtime Republican strategist, said he was “incandescently angry” about John Weaver [accused of sending sexually explicit messages via email or in phone calls to some 20 men, including to employees of The Lincoln Project.].
…in a rambling, startling statement Schmidt posted on Twitter in which Schmidt revealed being the victim of molestation as a boy at camp. “I detest John Weaver in a way I can’t articulate,” he said when he first learned of Weaver’s behavior last month.
Regardless of his feelings about Weaver, Schmidt also said he was “enormously proud” of what The Lincoln Project has accomplished.
Amid all the cynicism that Republican politicians have displayed over the last four Trump-addled years and continue to display during the farce of an impeachment, Steve Schmidt displays ethical and moral courage. Instead of the usual kowtowing to success and reaping benefits, he shows spine and the courage of his thought-through convictions.
If only ethical and moral courage was contagious. Imagine a pandemic of that sort….

Meanwhile, back at the ranch…

I’m eagerly anticipating a second visit from the first buyer who accepted my counteroffer on the house. He and his father – the money man – are due at 5pm today.
To present something of a decent first impression, I braved the oppressively 28C hot summer day and mowed one section of lawn.
I discovered one can mow a lawn with only three wheels on the lawn mower.
I’d discovered last year that the wheels tend to fall off the new lawn mower. Back then, I’d stopped the mower and reattached the wheel. That takes time I didn’t have yesterday, so I simply carried on mowing. I’m happy to report a three-wheel mower works fine.


Thursday, February 11, 2021

Steady as she goes

News blues…

President Ramaphosa’s State of the Nation Address (SoNA) . The first 10-plus minute are greetings; scroll to 10:35 mins to begin the speech.
Post-speech commentary: Tough times ahead….
Then, sign up for a webinar on President Ramaphosa’s speech: Unpack the SoNA
***
How dangerous is South Africa's coronavirus variant? Good overview of coronavirus variants and vaccines …. (15:18 mins)
***
Why are vaccines given in the upper arm?
According to Atlantic staff writer Katherine J. Wu,: 
Targeting shots to the deltoid muscle hits a perfect sweet spot for vaccines, distributing their contents quickly, without diluting or destroying the important ingredients. Muscles are rife with blood vessels, which disperse the vaccine’s contents throughout the body and provide a conduit for immune cells to move back and forth from the injection site. They are also naturally chock full of “messenger” immune cells, which can quickly grab hold of the bits of the vaccine that resemble the coronavirus and carry them to the rest of the immune system. This baton pass kick-starts the production of antibodies and other disease-fighting molecules and cells.
Injecting a vaccine directly into the blood would water it down too quickly, depriving immune cells of the opportunity to learn from it. Spiking it into a fattier tissue, such as the buttocks, would slow the process down too much because fat isn’t laced with as many blood vessels, and is also lacking in many of those crucial messenger cells.
***
The Lincoln Project 
Blood  (0:55 mins)

Healthy planet, anyone?

Weekly averages of CO2 levels in the atmosphere 
31 January 2021: 417.12 ppm 
This time last year: 414.50 ppm 
10 years ago: 392.19 ppm 
Pre-industrial base: 280 
Safe level: 350 
Atmospheric CO2 reading from Mauna Loa, Hawaii (part per million). Source: NOAA-ESRL

Scientists have warned for more than a decade that concentrations of more than 450ppm risk triggering extreme weather events and temperature rises as high as 2C, beyond which the effects of global heating are likely to become catastrophic and irreversible. 
***
Biden's new conservation corps stirs hopes of nature-focused hiring spree:
Nearly a century ago, the US faced unemployment at 25% and environmental woes such as flooding along major rivers and extensive deforestation. President Franklin Delano Roosevelt decided to tackle these emergencies simultaneously by creating the Civilian Conservation Corps (CCC) as part of his New Deal.
Through its nine-year existence, Roosevelt’s “Tree Army” put an impressive 3 million jobless Americans to work. All in all, CCC enrollees planted more than 3bn trees, paved 125,000 miles of roadways, erected 3,000 fire lookouts, and spent 6m workdays fighting forest fires. The artifacts from this ambitious effort – such as trails and structures dotting the Grand Canyon national park or the Pacific Coast Trail – are beloved today.
… Now, as the ongoing pandemic has wrought the greatest economic downturn since the Great Depression, Roosevelt’s public jobs programs are back in the spotlight. As part his recent climate policy spree, Biden announced the establishment of a “Civilian Climate Corps Initiative” that could harness the energy of the very generation that must face – and solve – the climate crisis by putting them to work in well-paying conservation jobs.
After Biden’s omnibus executive order, the heads of the Department of the Interior, the Department of Agriculture and other departments have 90 days to present their plan to “mobilize the next generation of conservation and resilience workers”, a step toward fulfilling Biden’s promise to get the US on track to conserve 30% of lands and oceans by 2030.

Meanwhile, back at the ranch…

Still running around like a crazy lady… and one set of buyers dropped out without making an offer. But… the buyer who has made an offer, and received a counteroffer, will be back tomorrow afternoon … and bring the “money man” with him. There’s still hope of a sale.
***
In Howick, my mother still getting stronger….
In California, my daughter visited my houseboat. To cap, I’d purchased an elderly houseboat 1.5 years ago, lived in it for 6 mos, returned to SA to take care of my mother for 3 mos, got locked down, and I’m still here.
I pay marina fees each month yet no one is taking care of my boat while I’m away. Friends who agreed regularly to check in on the houseboat have not done so. Nevertheless, according to my daughter, the boat “looks good; some leaf litter but no damage”.
Yay! Things are looking up….


Wednesday, February 10, 2021

Looking ahead

Worldwide (Map
February 11, 2021 – 107,324,00 confirmed infections; 2,354,000 deaths
January 6 – 87,157,000 confirmed infections; 1,882,100 deaths 
December 3 – 64,469,710 confirmed infections; 1,492,100 deaths

US (Map)
February 11, 2021 – 27,285,150 confirmed infections; 471,450 deaths
January 6 – 21,294,100 confirmed infections; 361,100 deaths 
December 3 – 13,920,000 confirmed infections; 273,370 deaths

SA (Coronavirus portal
February 11, 2021 – 1,482,412 confirmed infections; 47,145 deaths
January 6 – 1,150,000 confirmed infections; 30,525 deaths
December 3 – 796,475 confirmed infections; 21,710 deaths

News blues…

Is the pandemic in tenuous retreat? New COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, and deaths all dropped this week.
The good news in COVID-19 data continued this week, as new cases, hospitalizations, and deaths all dropped. For the seven-day period running January 28 to February 3, weekly new cases were down more than 16 percent over the previous week, and dropped below 1 million for the first time since the week of November 5. This is still an astonishing number of new cases a week, but far better than the nearly 1.8 million cases reported the week of January 14. Tests also declined nationally, but by less than 3 percent, nowhere near enough to explain the steep drop in cases. 
***
The more infectious variant of he coronavirus first identified in South Africa has surfaced in California for the first time, Gov. Gavin Newsom said on Wednesday. 
The state has identified two cases of the variant, Newsom said: one in Alameda County and one in Santa Clara County, both of which are part of the greater San Francisco Bay Area.
***
President Ramaphosa addresses the nation tonight at 7pm. 
Afterwards, Unpack the SoNA – a webinar 

Healthy planet, anyone?

The world’s most commonly used family of pesticides, developed in the 1990s as a “safer” alternative, may be harming mammals, too. Bees, essential for crop pollination, have been especially hard hit by neonics—and the EU has banned the outdoor use of three popular types. Exposure to neonics “reduces sperm production and increases abortions and skeletal abnormalities in rats; suppresses the immune response of mice and the sexual function of Italian male wall lizards; impairs mobility of tadpoles; increases miscarriage and premature birth in rabbits; and reduces survival of red-legged partridges, both adults and chicks,” Elizabeth Royte writes for Nat Geo. 

Meanwhile, back at the ranch…

Yesterday morning, 8:30am, a trio of potential buyers and the realtor came by the house for a third visit with a view to purchase. They lined up their vehicles next to the carport.
At 9:15am three more people in two more small trucks arrived to carry off two large chest freezers I’d sold.
After all visitors completed a series of vehicle moves to allow the trucks access to load the freezers, yet another visitor arrived. He’d dropped by unexpectedly after I’d texted him asking for advice on what to with what seems like miles of tangled electrical cable.
An electricity expert, the third visitor reminded me a key ingredient in electrical cable is copper, much sought after and sells well. (It is, after all, what thieves risk their lives for when they steal Eskom cabling from live overhead transmission lines.)
Note on Eskom: I received my first Eskom newsletter and it explains how “non payment” is a serious threat to the business and that “payment for services is a universal principle, and by ensuring that everyone pays for electricity, Eskom could ensure the future electricity tariffs are kept as low as possible.”
From 2017 to 2020, Eskom incurred costs to the value of as much as R188m related to theft, illegal connections, and vandalism of the electricity network. The cost over the last three years was R53m at March 2018, R64m at March last year and R71m as at the end of March.  This excludes the loss of revenue.
No company can sustain this kind of financial damage. Nevertheless, it doesn’t help that the company’s communications via app regarding load shedding is so confusing. One minute a notice comes regarding an imminent 2.5 hour period without power, next minute the opposite information arrives: “load shedding suspended.”

***
Driving to visit my mother, driving back to ensure the house is secure, packing up stuff to sell, driving to the recycling center, charity shop, and scrap yard, and placing goods on the lawn for passersby to take (the best way to recycle), seeking and not finding the right fitting for the hose pipe to connect to the power washer to clean the large rug the dog pissed on…. and trying to fit in exercise (walking and swimming) to ensure I’m not injured by some small but necessary task…. I am exhausted.
The good news? My mother continues to improve although she’s still very weak.
I'm optimistic. If - when? - a cash offer is made on the house, the future becomes  clearer, a path forward becomes smoother, and it'll become easier to invest gobs for energy into what currently feel like overwhelmingly stupid but vital tasks (such as washing dog piss off a rug.)
Sell house, sell!    


Tuesday, February 9, 2021

Congratulations, vaccinations!

Sign up for COVID-19 vaccine notifications 
Notice in California:
Get notified when it’s your turn to get the COVID-19 vaccine. If you’re near San Francisco, Los Angeles, or San Diego, you can also schedule your appointment.
Everyone in California will have an opportunity to get vaccinated against COVID-19. But our vaccine supply is limited right now. So we’re starting with the groups who are at highest risk, like people with a high chance of exposure and people 65 and older. Are you eligible? 

News blues…

As Americans struggle to survive an out-of-control pandemic and clean up after Trump (the White House), and the Trumpies’ mess of the federal government, Trump’s second impeachment commences. Historical moments:
Lead House Manager Rep. Jamie Raskin presents graphic video timeline of Jan. 6 attack on U.S. Capitol (13:13 mins)
Conclusion of House Manager Raskin’s emotional appeal to Senate on Day 1 of impeachment trial  (8:36 mins)
***
Calendar it:
The 2021 State of the Nation Address (SONA) to be delivered by President Cyril Ramaphosa on 11 February 2021-
Theme Following up on our commitments: making your future work better will reflect the devastation the coronavirus pandemic has on almost every sector of the South African economy and on ordinary people’s lives.
***

The Lincoln Project: 
Guardian graphic. Source: Harvard University.
Deaths attributable to exposure to
fine particulate matter (PM2.5)
generated by fossil fuel combustion

Meanwhile, back at the ranch…

A good friend from California has been perseverating for months about Covid-19. He has some health vulnerabilities, so he’s extra cautious about protecting himself, his family, friends, and neighbors.
Sometimes, I’ve wondered if he has been, well, just a bit over the top: he refuses to enter grocery stores, instead ordering online, driving to the store where assistants deliver groceries directly into his vehicle’s trunk/boot and, back home, sanitizing all purchases. During his daily walk around the neighborhood, he berates other walkers who don’t wear masks….
This friend’s health care provider warned that they’d not dispense vaccinations until at least late summer, 2021. Then, a miracle! My friend heard via the online grapevine that the State of California has opened vaccination sites in Los Angeles, San Jose (“Silicon Valley”) and San Francisco. What’s more, one could make appointments for two-dose vaccinations.
He drove for more than an hour and reached San Francisco’s Moscone Convention Center well before his 9:30am appointment. He was immediately attended to, and he processed out of the facility by 10:15am.
Yay! California! Yay, Biden administration! Yay, the resurgence of bureaucratic competence in the United States.
Now, to bring down the rate of infection and death.
Currently, the US is more than twice the rate of infection and death than its closest competition: 26+ million in US, 10+ in India (and India has twice the population).
Competence counts!
***
Yesterday I visited TOPS, the alcohol off sales store. I purchased a bottle of grapefruit flavored rum – with my homemade mint syrup I look forward to an occasional mojito. I also purchased a bottle of (cheapish) tequila. Now I seek an easy to make but delicious margarita mix recipe.
Things are looking up!


Monday, February 8, 2021

Forward momentum!

News blues…

New variants raise worry about COVID-19 as scientists discovered a new version of the virus in South Africa that’s more contagious and less susceptible to certain treatments.
Evidence is mounting that having COVID-19 may not protect against getting infected again with some of the new variants. People also can get second infections with earlier versions of the coronavirus if they mounted a weak defense the first time, new research suggests.
How long immunity lasts from natural infection is one of the big questions in the pandemic. Scientists still think reinfections are fairly rare and usually less serious than initial ones, but recent developments around the world have raised concerns.
In South Africa, a vaccine study found new infections with a variant in 2% of people who previously had an earlier version of the virus.
In Brazil, several similar cases were documented with a new variant there. Researchers are exploring whether reinfections help explain a recent surge in the city of Manaus, where three-fourths of residents were thought to have been previously infected.
In the United States, a study found that 10% of Marine recruits who had evidence of prior infection and repeatedly tested negative before starting basic training were later infected again. That work was done before the new variants began to spread, said one study leader, Dr. Stuart Sealfon of the Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai in New York.
“Previous infection does not give you a free pass,” he said. “A substantial risk of reinfection remains.”
Let’s be careful out there, people. Wear your mask, keep your distance, ventilate your facility, sanitize your hands…
***
The Lincoln Project on the cusp of Trump’s second impeachment:
Convict   (0:55 mins)
Now This: Trump's Impeachment Defense, Debunked   (4:33 mins)

Healthy planet, anyone?

Big Business squirms as Biden tightens climate regulations. Corporate America has made bold pledges to fight climate change, but it's resisting government efforts to hold it to them.

Meanwhile, back at the ranch…

First the good/bad news: My mother is looking a lot more perky. She’s still very weak, can hardly speak, and, sitting in her Laziboy chair, can slowly move her hands and legs. Nevertheless, a Care Center staff person phone me yesterday afternoon to report that dear old stubborn mom had tried to climb out of her Laziboy and had fallen – again! This time, however, no bones broken and no discernible damage done.
What to say?
Stubborn is as stubborn does!
***
Our gardener returned to work yesterday. He’s a mere shadow of his former “bonny” – that is, plump – self. In two weeks he lost at least 20 pounds/10kgs. Moreover, he claims he did not have Covid. Rather, the doctor suggests he may have an ulcer, or a similar stomach ailment.
He set about weeding … something badly needed and not too taxing.
***
Looks like we have a buyer for the house!
The third person who saw the house on the first day it was advertised, made a reasonable-enough all-cash offer. (The first couple that saw it made an unreasonable offer. I refused it and they didn’t make a counteroffer.)
Another party inspected the house yesterday and appear interested. Ironically, if they purchased, they’d create a medical step-down facility. They’d offer elderly folks a place recuperate with their pets and the ability to garden. Nice idea. Perhaps I could check my mother in…
Now to work out the nitty-gritty details.
Seems the concept of “as is” doesn’t mean much here. There’s talk of me having to erect a fence around the only section of swimming pool that doesn’t have a fence…and other annoying fixes.
Time will tell.